Further results on the probability theory of capacity value of additional generation

Further results on the probability theory of capacity value of additional generation
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附加发电容量值概率论的进一步结果

DOI:
10.1109/pmaps.2014.6960667
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发表时间:
2014
期刊:
--
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Dent C
Dent C
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Dent C

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新的理论结果关于额外的发电容量值,动机是解释应用可再生能源整合研究的结果。特别值得注意的是,计算值的基础风险水平的任何额外的发电能力,容量值的上限,有一个给定的概率接近零的可用容量,和一个封闭的形式的结果的情况下,可用的现有容量的分布可以近似为一个指数函数的依赖。这些主要结果可能会被应用的例子。
New theoretical results regarding the capacity value of additional generation are presented, the motivation being explanation of results from applied renewables integration studies. Of particular note are the dependence of calculated values on underlying risk level for any capacity of additional generation, the upper limit on capacity value where there is a given probability of near-zero available capacity, and a closed form result for the case where the distribution of available existing capacity may be approximated as an exponential function. Examples of how these main results may be applied are presented.
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