The impact of weather changes on the supply and demand of electric power and wholesale prices of electricity in Germany
The impact of weather changes on the supply and demand of electric power and wholesale prices of electricity in Germany
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天气变化对德国电力供需及电力批发价格的影响
DOI：
10.1007/s11625-022-01219-7
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发表时间：
2022
影响因子：
6
通讯作者：
S.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Tanaka;K. Matsumoto;K.;Keeley;A;R.;Managi;S.
天气状况严重影响电力需求。最近，天气变化也影响了电力供应，因为可再生能源已经扩散。一些研究表明，天气状况影响电力供应或需求。然而，很少有研究揭示了天气变化对电力供应，需求和市场价格的综合影响。本研究旨在揭示区域天气对德国电力现货市场的影响，结合每小时的天气和电力市场数据，使用结构方程模型。我们的研究结果表明，天气变化会影响需求和供应。首先，天气对电力供应的影响在每个州都不同。我们的估计结果显示了太阳辐射增加的更复杂的影响。其次，电力需求也受天气状况，特别是温度的影响。此外，气候条件的区域差异造成了复杂的电力供需结构。我们的研究结果表明，在特定地区的极端天气事件对电力市场价格有显着的影响。
Weather conditions critically affect electricity demand. Recently, weather changes have also affected the electricity supply because renewable energy sources have been diffused. Some studies have revealed that weather conditions affect electricity supply or demand. However, few studies have revealed the integrated effects of weather changes on the electricity supply, demand, and market prices. This study aims to reveal the regional weather impact on the German electricity spot market based on combined hourly weather and electricity market data using structural equation modeling. Our results reveal that weather changes affect both demand and supply. First, the effect of weather on electricity supply differs in each state. Our estimation results show a more complex effect of an increase in solar radiation. Second, the electricity demand is also affected by weather conditions, particularly by temperature. Additionally, regional differences in weather conditions create a complex structure of electricity supply and demand. Our results indicate that extreme weather events in specific areas have a significant impact on the electricity market price.
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德国可再生能源发电对现货市场价格的影响：使用Boosting方法进行事后分析
DOI：
10.5547/01956574.41.si1.akee
发表时间：
2020
期刊：
The Energy Journal
影响因子：
--
作者：
Ryota Keeley Alexander;Matsumoto Ken’ichi;Tanaka Kenta;Sugiawan Yogi;Managi Shunsuke
通讯作者：
Managi Shunsuke
影响因子：
12.8
作者：
Cludius, Johanna;Hermann, Hauke;Graichen, Verena
通讯作者：
Graichen, Verena
影响因子：
56.7
作者：
Perera, A. T. D.;Nik, Vahid M.;Hong, Tianzhen
通讯作者：
Hong, Tianzhen
影响因子：
1.7
作者：
Kenta Tanaka;Clevo Wilson;Shunsuke Managi
通讯作者：
Shunsuke Managi