Technology investment under flexible capacity strategy with demand uncertainty

Technology investment under flexible capacity strategy with demand uncertainty
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需求不确定的灵活产能策略下的技术投资

DOI:
10.1016/j.ijpe.2014.04.008
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发表时间:
2014-08
影响因子:
12
通讯作者:
T.C.E. Cheng
T.C.E. Cheng
中科院分区:
工程技术1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Yonggui Wang;Jun Ma;Chi To Ng;T.C.E. Cheng

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研究了考虑需求不确定性的柔性产能策略下的技术投资问题。技术投资使企业能够降低其总生产成本,而灵活产能战略旨在通过将生产推迟到需求已知的方式来减少企业的生产浪费。采用一般技术投资成本,研究技术投资成本结构对企业技术投资决策的影响。我们推导出公司从技术投资中获益的条件。研究表明,只有当单位技术投资成本与基础技术水平成反比时,企业才能通过技术投资增加预期利润。然而,即使技术投入成本为零,技术水平提高带来的效益也是有限的。在此基础上,分析确定了不同技术投资成本结构下的最优技术水平,并建立了它们之间的关系。我们的研究结果将有助于企业评估各种技术投资方案并选择最合适的技术投资方案。
This paper investigates technology investment under flexible capacity strategy with demand uncertainty. Technology investment enables a firm to reduce its total production cost, while flexible capacity strategy aims to reduce a firm׳s production waste by postponing production until demand is known. Adopting a general technology investment cost, we examine how technology investment cost structure affects a firm׳s technology investment decisions. We derive the conditions under which the firm will benefit from technology investment. We show that the firm can increase its expected profit through technology investment only when the unit technology investment cost that varies inversely with the basic technology level is below a threshold. However, even though the technology investment cost is zero, the benefit from the increase in technology level is limited. Furthermore, we analytically determine the optimal technology levels and establish their relationships under different technology investment cost structures. Our findings will help firms evaluate various technology investment options and choose the most proper one.
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