Association of Public Interest in Preventive Measures and Increased COVID-19 Cases After the Expiration of Stay-at-Home Orders: A Cross-Sectional Study.

Association of Public Interest in Preventive Measures and Increased COVID-19 Cases After the Expiration of Stay-at-Home Orders: A Cross-Sectional Study.
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DOI:
10.1017/dmp.2020.333
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发表时间:
2022-03
影响因子:
2.7
通讯作者:
Ottwell R
Ottwell R
中科院分区:
医学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hartwell M;Greiner B;Kilburn Z;Ottwell R

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在针对冠状病毒病(COVID-19)发布居家(SAH)命令后,国家一级的经济担忧增加,许多人让这些命令到期。作为衡量公众准备程度的一种方法,我们试图探索公众对预防措施的兴趣与SAH命令的放松之间的关联-特别是命令到期后COVID-19病例和死亡人数的增加。从谷歌趋势中收集了每个州的“洗手液”、“社交距离”、“COVID测试”和“接触者追踪”的搜索量。计算了双变量相关性,以分析公众对预防措施的兴趣、SAH预防后确诊COVID-19病例的变化、COVID-19病死率和各州总统投票百分比之间的关联。对预防措施的更高兴趣与SAH命令过期后确诊病例的较低比率(r =-0.33),全州人均死亡率(r = 0.42)和病死率(r = 0.60)相关。在2016年支持共和党提名人的州选民百分比与平均预防措施的查询比例之间发现了中度到强烈的负相关性(r =-0.77)。我们的调查显示,公众对COVID-19预防的兴趣增加与SAH命令到期后更长的SAH命令和更少的COVID-19病例有关;然而,它也与更高的病死率有关。
Following stay-at-home (SAH) orders issued for coronavirus disease (COVID-19), state-level economic concerns increased and many let these orders expire. As a method to measure public preparedness, we sought to explore the association between public interest in preventive measures and the easing of SAH orders – specifically the increases in COVID-19 cases and fatalities after the orders expired. Search volume was collected from Google Trends for “hand sanitizer,” “social distancing,” “COVID testing,” and “contact tracing” for each state. Bivariate correlations were computed to analyze associations between public interest in preventive measures, changes in confirmed COVID-19 cases after SAH expirations, COVID-19 case-fatality rates, and by-state presidential voting percentages. A higher interest in preventive measures was associated with lower rates of confirmed cases after SAH orders had expired (r = −0.33), higher state-wide deaths per capita (r = 0.42), and case-fatality rates (r = 0.60). Moderate to strong negative correlations were found between states’ percentage of voters supporting the Republican nominee in 2016 and proportion of queries for average preventive measures (r = −0.77). Our investigation shows that increased public interest in COVID-19 prevention was associated with longer SAH orders and less COVID-19 cases after the SAH orders’ expiration; however, it was also associated with higher case-fatality rates.
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