COVID-19 vaccination intentions and subsequent uptake: An analysis of the role of marginalisation in society using British longitudinal data.
COVID-19 vaccination intentions and subsequent uptake: An analysis of the role of marginalisation in society using British longitudinal data.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.socscimed.2023.115779
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发表时间：
2023-03
影响因子：
5.4
通讯作者：
Walker, Ian
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Mendolia, Silvia;Walker, Ian
COVID-19疫苗犹豫之前已经使用疫苗可用之前表达的意图数据进行了建模。一旦疫苗变得广泛可用，就有可能使用实际的疫苗接种数据来模拟犹豫。本文估计了COVID-19疫苗接种意向（在任何疫苗发布之前宣布）和实际接种（在整个年龄分布中广泛可用时）联合分布的决定因素。我们使用在英国疫情期间收集的高质量纵向数据（英国家庭纵向研究），并将其与COVID-19疫情前收集的各种个人特征合并。我们的估计利用了样本的新冠肺炎前变量值，该样本包括2021年9月浪潮的10，073个观测值。本文的贡献是模型犹豫和摄取联合。这项工作表明，可能被视为社会边缘化的人（在大流行开始之前测量）不太可能说他们打算接种疫苗，他们也更有可能实际上保持未接种疫苗。它还表明，有一个很大的正相关性之间的不可观察的决定因素的意图和吸收。这种高度的正相关性具有重要的意义-仅根据意图数据，就可以合理地对针对特定群体的宣传活动进行分析。我们还表明，改变一个人的想法是不相关的可观察到的数据。这符合两种解释。首先，关于疫苗抵达的新信息，即它们是安全和有效的，可能比最初假设的更乐观。其次，在疫苗问世之前，人们可能对与感染相关的影响更为悲观。
COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy has previously been modelled using data on intentions – expressed prior to vaccine availability. Once vaccines became widely available, it became possible to model hesitancy using actual vaccination uptake data. This paper estimates the determinants of the joint distribution of COVID-19 vaccination intentions (declared before the release of any vaccine) and actual vaccination take-up (when it was widely available across the age distribution). We use high quality longitudinal data (UK Household Longitudinal Study) collected during the pandemic in the UK, merged to a wide variety of individual characteristics collected prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our estimation draws on pre-Covid values of variables for a sample that includes 10,073 observations from the September 2021 wave. The contribution of this paper is to model hesitancy and uptake jointly. The work shows that people who might be regarded as marginalised in society (measured, before the pandemic began) are less likely to say that they intend to be vaccinated and they go on to also be more likely to actually remain unvaccinated. It also shows that there is a large positive correlation between the unobservable determinants of intention and of uptake. This high positive correlation has an important implication - that information campaigns can be reasonably well profiled to target specific groups on the basis of intention data alone. We also show that changing one's mind is not correlated with observable data. This is consistent with two explanations. Firstly, the new information available on the arrival of vaccines, that they are safe and effective, may be more optimistic than was originally assumed. Secondly, individuals may have been more pessimistic about the effects associated with infection before vaccines became available.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.bbi.2021.03.008
发表时间：
2021-05
期刊：
Brain, behavior, and immunity
影响因子：
--
作者：
Robertson E;Reeve KS;Niedzwiedz CL;Moore J;Blake M;Green M;Katikireddi SV;Benzeval MJ
通讯作者：
Benzeval MJ
影响因子：
16.6
作者：
Murphy J;Vallières F;Bentall RP;Shevlin M;McBride O;Hartman TK;McKay R;Bennett K;Mason L;Gibson-Miller J;Levita L;Martinez AP;Stocks TVA;Karatzias T;Hyland P
通讯作者：
Hyland P
英国的Covid-19疫苗犹豫：一项纵向家庭横断面研究。
影响因子：
4.5
作者：
Chaudhuri K;Chakrabarti A;Chandan JS;Bandyopadhyay S
通讯作者：
Bandyopadhyay S
影响因子：
3
作者：
Oster, Emily
通讯作者：
Oster, Emily
影响因子：
5.5
作者：
Butler, Robb;MacDonald, Noni E.
通讯作者：
MacDonald, Noni E.