Beyond a warming fingerprint: individualistic biogeographic responses to heterogeneous climate change in California.
Beyond a warming fingerprint: individualistic biogeographic responses to heterogeneous climate change in California.
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除了变暖的指纹外：对加利福尼亚州异质气候变化的个人主义生物地理反应。
DOI：
10.1111/gcb.12638
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发表时间：
2014-09
影响因子：
11.6
通讯作者：
Beissinger SR
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Rapacciuolo G;Maher SP;Schneider AC;Hammond TT;Jabis MD;Walsh RE;Iknayan KJ;Walden GK;Oldfather MF;Ackerly DD;Beissinger SR
了解最近的地理对气候变化的反应是根本的，以提高我们的预测可能的未来的反应和指导保护规划在地方和全球范围内。对观测到的地理学对20世纪世纪气候变化的反应的研究主要是研究与普遍存在的温度升高相关的影响-统称为变暖指纹。虽然气候的其他方面的变化的重要性-特别是降水和水的可用性-从理论的角度得到了广泛的认可，并得到了古生物学证据的支持，但我们缺乏对这些变化如何与温度相互作用以驱动地理反应的实际理解。更复杂的是，生命史和生态属性的差异可能导致物种对相同的气候变化做出不同的反应。在这里，我们检查是否最近横跨加州的地理模式是一致的变暖指纹。我们描述了气候的各个组成部分如何在加州在20世纪世纪区域性变化，并审查这些变化，特别是海拔范围的变化的地理响应的经验证据。许多对气候变化的反应似乎与变暖的指纹不一致，在一些分类群中，海拔的下坡变化与上坡变化一样普遍，许多人口和社区的反应与上坡变化不一致。我们确定了这些反应的一些潜在的直接和间接机制，包括温度以外的气候变化方面的影响（例如，能量和水的可用性的季节性变化平衡），在每个分类群的气候变化，营养相互作用和土地利用变化的敏感性的差异。最后，我们强调需要超越变暖的指纹在研究中考虑气候的多方面的观点，强调局部尺度的影响，并包括相关的自然历史的先验知识的类群和地区的研究。
Understanding recent biogeographic responses to climate change is fundamental for improving our predictions of likely future responses and guiding conservation planning at both local and global scales. Studies of observed biogeographic responses to 20th century climate change have principally examined effects related to ubiquitous increases in temperature – collectively termed a warming fingerprint. Although the importance of changes in other aspects of climate – particularly precipitation and water availability – is widely acknowledged from a theoretical standpoint and supported by paleontological evidence, we lack a practical understanding of how these changes interact with temperature to drive biogeographic responses. Further complicating matters, differences in life history and ecological attributes may lead species to respond differently to the same changes in climate. Here, we examine whether recent biogeographic patterns across California are consistent with a warming fingerprint. We describe how various components of climate have changed regionally in California during the 20th century and review empirical evidence of biogeographic responses to these changes, particularly elevational range shifts. Many responses to climate change do not appear to be consistent with a warming fingerprint, with downslope shifts in elevation being as common as upslope shifts across a number of taxa and many demographic and community responses being inconsistent with upslope shifts. We identify a number of potential direct and indirect mechanisms for these responses, including the influence of aspects of climate change other than temperature (e.g., the shifting seasonal balance of energy and water availability), differences in each taxon's sensitivity to climate change, trophic interactions, and land-use change. Finally, we highlight the need to move beyond a warming fingerprint in studies of biogeographic responses by considering a more multifaceted view of climate, emphasizing local-scale effects, and including a priori knowledge of relevant natural history for the taxa and regions under study.
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影响因子：
3.9
作者：
Dole, KP;Loik, ME;Sloan, LC
通讯作者：
Sloan, LC
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Foden WB;Butchart SH;Stuart SN;Vié JC;Akçakaya HR;Angulo A;DeVantier LM;Gutsche A;Turak E;Cao L;Donner SD;Katariya V;Bernard R;Holland RA;Hughes AF;O'Hanlon SE;Garnett ST;Sekercioğlu CH;Mace GM
通讯作者：
Mace GM
DOI：
10.1073/pnas.1311190110
发表时间：
2013-11-12
影响因子：
11.1
作者：
De Frenne, Pieter;Rodriguez-Sanchez, Francisco;Verheyen, Kris
通讯作者：
Verheyen, Kris
影响因子：
56.9
作者：
Chen, I-Ching;Hill, Jane K.;Thomas, Chris D.
通讯作者：
Thomas, Chris D.
影响因子：
6.4
作者：
Aragon, Pedro;Lobo, Jorge M.;Rodriguez, Miguel A.
通讯作者：
Rodriguez, Miguel A.