Grid impact of non-residential distributed solar energy and reduced air emissions: Empirical evidence from individual-consumer-level smart meter data

Grid impact of non-residential distributed solar energy and reduced air emissions: Empirical evidence from individual-consumer-level smart meter data
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非住宅分布式太阳能对电网的影响和减少空气排放:来自个人消费者级智能电表数据的经验证据

DOI:
10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116804
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发表时间:
2021
期刊:
影响因子:
11.2
通讯作者:
Xing, Bo
Xing, Bo
中科院分区:
工程技术1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Qiu, Yueming;Wang, Yi David;Xing, Bo

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大多数现有的关于分布式太阳能电池板的节能和环境效益的评估都假设,分布式太阳能电池板产生的全部电力都用来取代电网所需的等量电力。然而,这种假设可能高估了实际的环境效益,因为它错误地忽略了反弹效应的存在- -能源服务使用的增加。我们提供了非住宅分布式太阳能对电网影响的第一个经验证据,并减少了相关的空气排放。利用来自美国亚利桑那州的消费者级高频电力消耗和太阳能电池板安装数据,我们通过计量经济学分析估计了商业和工业消费者电网所需的实际每小时电力减少。我们表明,这种减少比实际的太阳能发电要小得多。我们还表明,商业分布式太阳能消费者在7月和8月不减少月度最大需求,给公用事业带来了进一步的挑战。最后,我们通过将每小时从电网购买的电力减少量乘以二氧化碳、二氧化硫、氮氧化物和颗粒物的边际排放系数来计算减少空气排放的好处。我们估计,平均规模的商业分布式面板系统减少空气排放的年效益为1147美元。
Most existing assessments of the energy saving and environmental benefits from distributed solar panels assume that the entire amount of electricity generated by distributed solar panels goes to replace the same amount of electricity needed from the electric grid. However, such an assumption can overestimate the actual environmental benefits because it incorrectly ignores the existence of rebound effects – increases in energy service usage. We provide the first empirical evidence of the grid impact of non-residential distributed solar energy and the associated reduced air emissions. Using consumer-level high frequency electricity consumption and solar panel installation data from Arizona, United States, we estimate the actual hourly reduction in electricity needed from the grid of commercial and industrial consumers through an econometric analysis. We show that this reduction is much smaller than the actual solar electricity generation. We also show that business distributed solar consumers create a further challenge to the utilities by not reducing their monthly maximum demand in July and August. Lastly, we calculate the benefit of reduced air emissions by multiplying the measured hourly reduction in electricity purchased from the grid by the marginal emission factors of CO2, SO2, NOx, and particulate matter. We estimate that the annual benefit of reduced air emissions from an average-size business distributed panel system is $1147.
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