Forest disturbances under climate change.
Forest disturbances under climate change.
复制标题
在气候变化下的森林干扰。
DOI：
10.1038/nclimate3303
复制
发表时间：
2017-06
影响因子：
30.7
通讯作者：
Reyer CPO
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Seidl R;Thom D;Kautz M;Martin-Benito D;Peltoniemi M;Vacchiano G;Wild J;Ascoli D;Petr M;Honkaniemi J;Lexer MJ;Trotsiuk V;Mairota P;Svoboda M;Fabrika M;Nagel TA;Reyer CPO
森林干扰对气候很敏感。然而，我们对气候变化引起的扰动动力学的理解仍然不完整，特别是在大尺度模式、相互作用效应和抑制反馈方面。在这里，我们提供了一个全球综合气候变化对重要的非生物（火，干旱，风，雪和冰）和生物（昆虫和病原体）干扰剂的影响。温暖和干燥的条件特别容易引起火灾，干旱和昆虫干扰，而温暖和潮湿的条件增加了风和病原体的干扰。各因素之间广泛的相互作用可能会放大干扰，而植被变化等间接气候效应可能会抑制长期干扰对气候的敏感性。干扰的未来变化可能在针叶林和北方生物群落中最为明显。我们的结论是，生态系统和社会都应该为森林日益受到干扰的未来做好准备。
Forest disturbances are sensitive to climate. However, our understanding of disturbance dynamics in response to climatic changes remains incomplete, particularly regarding large-scale patterns, interaction effects and dampening feedbacks. Here we provide a global synthesis of climate change effects on important abiotic (fire, drought, wind, snow and ice) and biotic (insects and pathogens) disturbance agents. Warmer and drier conditions particularly facilitate fire, drought and insect disturbances, while warmer and wetter conditions increase disturbances from wind and pathogens. Widespread interactions between agents are likely to amplify disturbances, while indirect climate effects such as vegetation changes can dampen long-term disturbance sensitivities to climate. Future changes in disturbance are likely to be most pronounced in coniferous forests and the boreal biome. We conclude that both ecosystems and society should be prepared for an increasingly disturbed future of forests.
登录
查看更多内容
影响因子：
56.9
作者：
Bender, Morris A.;Knutson, Thomas R.;Held, Isaac M.
通讯作者：
Held, Isaac M.
影响因子：
4.6
作者：
Cook, Benjamin I.;Smerdon, Jason E.;Coats, Sloan
通讯作者：
Coats, Sloan
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Cowden, Merrit M.;Hart, Justin L.;Dey, Daniel C.
通讯作者：
Dey, Daniel C.
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Evangelista, Paul H.;Kumar, Sunil;Young, Nicholas E.
通讯作者：
Young, Nicholas E.
影响因子：
8.5
作者：
Beudert, Burkhard;Baessler, Claus;Mueller, Joerg
通讯作者：
Mueller, Joerg