Cancer Risk in Patients With Biopsy-Confirmed Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Population-Based Cohort Study.
Cancer Risk in Patients With Biopsy-Confirmed Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Population-Based Cohort Study.
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DOI:
10.1002/hep.31845
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发表时间:
2021-11
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影响因子:
--
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中科院分区:
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Recent studies link nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to an increased incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and extrahepatic cancers. However, prior studies were small or lacked liver histology, which remains the gold standard for staging NAFLD severity. We conducted a population-based cohort study of all adults with histologically defined NAFLD in Sweden from 1966 to 2016 (N=8,892). NAFLD was defined from prospectively recorded liver histopathology submitted to all 28 Swedish pathology departments and categorized as simple steatosis, nonfibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), noncirrhotic fibrosis, and cirrhosis. NAFLD patients were individually matched to ≤5 general population controls without NAFLD by age, sex, calendar year, and county (N=39,907). Using Cox proportional hazards modeling, we calculated multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Over a median of 13.8 years, we documented 1,691 incident cancers among NAFLD patients and 6,733 among controls. Compared with controls, NAFLD patients had significantly increased overall cancer incidence (10.9 vs. 13.8/1,000 person-years [PYs]; difference=2.9/1,000 PYs; aHR, 1.27 [95%CI, 1.18–1.36]), driven primarily by HCC (difference=1.1/1,000 PYs; aHR, 17.08 [95%CI, 11.56–25.25]). HCC incidence rates increased monotonically across categories of simple steatosis, nonfibrotic NASH, noncirrhotic fibrosis, and cirrhosis (0.8/1,000 PYs, 1.2/1,000 PYs, 2.3/1,000 PYs, and 6.2/1,000 PYs, respectively) (Ptrend<0.01) and were further amplified by diabetes (1.2/1,000 PYs, 2.9/1,000 PYs, 7.2/1,000 PYs, and 15.7/1,000 PYs, respectively). In contrast, NAFLD was associated with modestly increased rates of pancreatic cancer, kidney/bladder cancer, and melanoma (differences=0.2/1,000 PYs, 0.1/1,000 PYs, and 0.2/1,000 PYs, respectively) but no other cancers. Compared with controls, patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD had significantly increased cancer incidence, due primarily to HCC, whereas the contribution of extrahepatic cancers was modest. Although HCC risk was highest with cirrhosis, substantial excess risk was also found with noncirrhotic fibrosis and comorbid diabetes.
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影响因子:
29.4
作者:
Kanwal F;Kramer JR;Mapakshi S;Natarajan Y;Chayanupatkul M;Richardson PA;Li L;Desiderio R;Thrift AP;Asch SM;Chu J;El-Serag HB
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