Migration and transformation of coastal wetlands in response to rising seas.

Migration and transformation of coastal wetlands in response to rising seas.
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沿海湿地的迁移和转变,以响应海洋上升。

DOI:
10.1126/sciadv.abo5174
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发表时间:
2022-07
期刊:
影响因子:
13.6
通讯作者:
--
中科院分区:
综合性期刊1区
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--
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沿海湿地不仅是世界上最有价值的生态系统之一,而且也是受温室气体高排放威胁最大的生态系统之一,温室气体排放导致海平面加速上升。关于湿地向陆地的迁移在多大程度上可以补偿向海洋的湿地损失,存在着激烈的辩论。通过整合来自连续的美国166个河口的数据,我们表明,沿海湿地向陆地的迁移将改变海岸线,但不会阻止向海洋的损失。预计三分之二的潜在迁徙将以沿海淡水湿地为代价,而其余三分之一预计将以宝贵的高地为代价,包括农田、森林、牧场和草原。我们的分析强调,需要更好地为沿海转型和海平面上升造成的湿地净损失做好准备。沿海湿地在海平面上升的情况下向陆地迁移将改变海岸线,但不能补偿向海洋的损失。
Coastal wetlands are not only among the world’s most valued ecosystems but also among the most threatened by high greenhouse gas emissions that lead to accelerated sea level rise. There is intense debate regarding the extent to which landward migration of wetlands might compensate for seaward wetland losses. By integrating data from 166 estuaries across the conterminous United States, we show that landward migration of coastal wetlands will transform coastlines but not counter seaward losses. Two-thirds of potential migration is expected to occur at the expense of coastal freshwater wetlands, while the remaining one-third is expected to occur at the expense of valuable uplands, including croplands, forests, pastures, and grasslands. Our analyses underscore the need to better prepare for coastal transformations and net wetland loss due to rising seas. Landward migration of coastal wetlands under rising seas will transform coastlines but not compensate for seaward losses.
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