Measuring the intensity of conflicts in conservation.
Measuring the intensity of conflicts in conservation.
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DOI：
10.1111/conl.12783
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发表时间：
2021-05
影响因子：
8.5
通讯作者：
Bunnefeld N
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Cusack JJ;Bradfer-Lawrence T;Baynham-Herd Z;Castelló Y Tickell S;Duporge I;Hegre H;Moreno Zárate L;Naude V;Nijhawan S;Wilson J;Zambrano Cortes DG;Bunnefeld N
生物多样性保护的利益与其他人类活动之间的冲突对自然生态系统和人类福祉构成了重大威胁，但很少有办法量化其强度并对其动态进行建模。我们根据冲突曲线对冲突强度进行分类，该模型最初用于跟踪武装冲突的升级和降级。我们的分类将反映特定冲突中的利益攸关方的言论和行动的六个强度等级，从共存或合作到身体暴力。使用一系列案例研究，我们展示了我们的方法在量化冲突趋势、估计冲突阶段之间的转移概率以及将冲突强度建模为相关协变量的函数方面的价值。通过采用基于证据的方法来量化利益相关者的行为，拟议的框架允许更好地理解各种社会生态情景中保护冲突发展的驱动因素。
Conflicts between the interests of biodiversity conservation and other human activities pose a major threat to natural ecosystems and human well‐being, yet few methods exist to quantify their intensity and model their dynamics. We develop a categorization of conflict intensity based on the curve of conflict, a model originally used to track the escalation and deescalation of armed conflicts. Our categorization assigns six intensity levels reflecting the discourse and actions of stakeholders involved in a given conflict, from coexistence or collaboration to physical violence. Using a range of case studies, we demonstrate the value of our approach in quantifying conflict trends, estimating transition probabilities between conflict stages, and modeling conflict intensity as a function of relevant covariates. By taking an evidence‐based approach to quantifying stakeholder behavior, the proposed framework allows for a better understanding of the drivers of conservation conflict development across a diverse range of socioecological scenarios.
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