Fuel consumption in road transport: A comparative study of China and OECD countries

Fuel consumption in road transport: A comparative study of China and OECD countries
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道路运输燃料消耗:中国与OECD国家的比较研究

DOI:
10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.09.092
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发表时间:
2019
影响因子:
11.1
通讯作者:
Lin Boqiang
Lin Boqiang
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Wang Ting;Lin Boqiang

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由于道路运输行业具有能源密集型和空气污染密集型的特点,节能减排一直是道路运输行业关注的重点。它也体现了人类技术进步的印记。本文对中国和经合组织国家道路运输部门的能源消耗进行了比较。采用时间序列和面板数据、协整分析、误差修正模型和动态模型研究了收入、收入结构、城市化、价格和技术进步等主要影响因素对道路运输汽柴油消费的影响。总体而言,中国的燃料消费主要受投资、政府支出和城市化等人口变化的影响,而经合组织国家的燃料消费主要受家庭最终消费支出的驱动。从短期和动态的角度来看,中国的燃料消费受历史消费的影响小于当前的影响因素,而经合组织国家的燃料消费受历史消费的影响更大。在此基础上,本文提出了一些政策建议。
Energy conservation and emissions reduction have been the focus of the road transport sector due to its energy-intensive and air pollution-intensive nature. It also embodies the imprints of human technological progress. This paper compares the energy consumption of the road transport sector in China and OECD countries. We used time series and panel data, co-integration analysis, error correction model and dynamic model to study the impacts of the major influencing factors such as income, income structure, urbanization, price, and technological advancement on gasoline and diesel consumption in road transport. Overall, China's fuel consumption is influenced mainly by investment, government expenditure and demographic changes such as urbanization, while the fuel consumption of OECD countries is mainly driven by household final consumption expenditure. In the short run and from a dynamic perspective, China's fuel consumption is less influenced by its historical consumption than current influencing factors, while that of OECD countries is more affected by historical fuel consumption. Based on the analysis and findings of this study, some policy implications are proposed.
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