The analysis of the battery electric vehicle’s potentiality of environmental effect: A case study of Beijing from 2016 to 2020

The analysis of the battery electric vehicle’s potentiality of environmental effect: A case study of Beijing from 2016 to 2020
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纯电动汽车环境影响潜力分析——以2016-2020年北京市为例

DOI:
10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.12.131
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发表时间:
2017-03
影响因子:
11.1
通讯作者:
Bao-Jun Tang
Bao-Jun Tang
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ye Ma;Ruo-Yu Ke;Rong Han;Bao-Jun Tang

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在2013年确定的首批新能源汽车应用推广试点城市中,北京也是全国节能、新能源汽车示范推广和个人购买新能源汽车补贴试点城市。2016年是“十三五”规划开局之年,预计将是新能源汽车推广的关键一年。本文运用燃料生命周期评估方法,对北京正在推广的电动出租车、电动公交车、电动环卫车、电动租赁汽车等电动汽车进行了定量分析,并在此基础上对“十三五”期间电动汽车节能减排的表现进行了预测。并为行业的发展路径和政策制定提供见解。结果表明,目前在北京执飞的所有类型的电池电动汽车对节能减排都有积极的影响,到2020年底,预计将节省19亿公斤的电力消耗,减少3940万吨的二氧化碳排放。研究发现,发电结构和燃料类型等因素对这种减排效果至关重要。
Among the first batch of pilot cities for application and promotion of new energy vehicles determined in 2013, Beijing is also a pilot city for national energy conservation, demonstration and popularization of new energy vehicles as well as subsidization of private new energy vehicles purchase. 2016 marks the beginning of the “13th Five-Year Plan” and is hence expected to be a pivotal year for promoting new energy vehicles. Using the Fuel Life Cycle Assessment, this paper conducts a quantitative analysis of such battery electric vehicles being promoted in Beijing as electric taxis, electric buses, electric sanitation trucks and rental battery electric vehicles, based on which we forecast the battery electric vehicles’ performance during the “13th Five-Year Plan” in terms of energy conservation and emission reduction, as well as provide insights into the development path and the policy making for the industry accordingly. The results indicate a positive effect on energy conservation and emission reduction for all battery electric vehicles types currently on duty in Beijing, with an estimated 1.9 billion kilogram consumed energy of electricity conserved as well as 39.4 million tons of CO2emission reduced by the end of 2020. Factors like power generation structure and fuel type are found to be crucial for this emission reduction performance.
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发表时间: 2006-03
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DOI: --
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