Pairing facts with imagined consequences improves pandemic-related risk perception.
Pairing facts with imagined consequences improves pandemic-related risk perception.
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将事实与想象的后果相结合，可以改善对流行病相关风险的感知。
DOI：
10.1073/pnas.2100970118
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发表时间：
2021-08-10
影响因子：
11.1
通讯作者：
Samanez-Larkin GR
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Sinclair AH;Hakimi S;Stanley ML;Adcock RA;Samanez-Larkin GR
在COVID-19大流行期间，个人被迫平衡相互冲突的需求：居家指南减轻了疾病的传播，但往往以牺牲人们的心理健康和经济稳定为代价。为了平衡这些需求，个人应注意实际的本地病毒传播风险。我们发现，虽然流行病相关的风险认知可能是不准确的，感知的风险密切预测遵守公共卫生准则。重新调整感知风险和实际风险对于消除流行病疲劳和减缓疾病传播至关重要。因此，我们开发了一种快速有效的干预措施，将感知风险与实际风险重新调整。我们的干预措施改善了感知风险，降低了参与风险活动的意愿，无论是立即还是延迟1至3周后。2019冠状病毒病疫情在危机开始一年多后的全球复苏中达到惊人的新高峰。虽然公共卫生指导方针最初有助于减缓疾病的传播，但广泛的流行性疲劳和对金融稳定和精神健康的长期损害促成了这种复苏。在大流行后期，很明显需要新的干预措施来支持长期的行为改变。在这里，我们研究了关于COVID-19的主观感知风险以及感知风险与参与风险行为之间的关系。在研究1（n = 303）中，我们发现主观感知风险可能是不准确的，但预测符合公共卫生指南。在研究2（n = 735）中，我们开发了一种多方面的干预措施，旨在重新调整感知风险与实际风险。参与者完成了一个情景模拟任务;我们期望想象一个与COVID相关的场景会增加风险信息的显著性并促进行为改变。在情景模拟之后，参与者立即完成了风险估计任务，并对当地病毒流行情况进行了个性化反馈。我们发现，信息预测误差（一种衡量惊喜的指标）推动了感知风险和参与风险活动意愿的有益变化。事先想象一个与COVID相关的场景，增强了预测误差对学习的影响。重要的是，我们的干预措施产生了持久的效果，并在延迟1至3周后持续存在。总的来说，我们描述了一种快速可行的在线干预，有效地改变了对危险行为的信念和意图。
During the COVID-19 pandemic, individuals have been forced to balance conflicting needs: stay-at-home guidelines mitigate the spread of the disease but often at the expense of people’s mental health and economic stability. To balance these needs, individuals should be mindful of actual local virus transmission risk. We found that although pandemic-related risk perception was likely inaccurate, perceived risk closely predicted compliance with public health guidelines. Realigning perceived and actual risk is crucial for combating pandemic fatigue and slowing the spread of disease. Therefore, we developed a fast and effective intervention to realign perceived risk with actual risk. Our intervention improved perceived risk and reduced willingness to engage in risky activities, both immediately and after a 1- to 3-wk delay. The COVID-19 pandemic reached staggering new peaks during a global resurgence more than a year after the crisis began. Although public health guidelines initially helped to slow the spread of disease, widespread pandemic fatigue and prolonged harm to financial stability and mental well-being contributed to this resurgence. In the late stage of the pandemic, it became clear that new interventions were needed to support long-term behavior change. Here, we examined subjective perceived risk about COVID-19 and the relationship between perceived risk and engagement in risky behaviors. In study 1 (n = 303), we found that subjective perceived risk was likely inaccurate but predicted compliance with public health guidelines. In study 2 (n = 735), we developed a multifaceted intervention designed to realign perceived risk with actual risk. Participants completed an episodic simulation task; we expected that imagining a COVID-related scenario would increase the salience of risk information and enhance behavior change. Immediately following the episodic simulation, participants completed a risk estimation task with individualized feedback about local viral prevalence. We found that information prediction error, a measure of surprise, drove beneficial change in perceived risk and willingness to engage in risky activities. Imagining a COVID-related scenario beforehand enhanced the effect of prediction error on learning. Importantly, our intervention produced lasting effects that persisted after a 1- to 3-wk delay. Overall, we describe a fast and feasible online intervention that effectively changed beliefs and intentions about risky behaviors.
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DOI：
10.1073/pnas.1800547115
发表时间：
2018-07-31
影响因子：
11.1
作者：
Charpentier CJ;Bromberg-Martin ES;Sharot T
通讯作者：
Sharot T
影响因子：
3.8
作者：
Barnett, J;Breakwell, GM
通讯作者：
Breakwell, GM
影响因子：
29.9
作者：
Chande, Aroon;Lee, Seolha;Harris, Mallory;Nguyen, Quan;Beckett, Stephen J.;Hilley, Troy;Andris, Clio;Weitz, Joshua S.
通讯作者：
Weitz, Joshua S.
影响因子：
3.8
作者：
Bo, Simen;Wolff, Katharina
通讯作者：
Wolff, Katharina
影响因子：
13.6
作者：
Clinton J;Cohen J;Lapinski J;Trussler M
通讯作者：
Trussler M