The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on transportation employment: A comparative analysis.
The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on transportation employment: A comparative analysis.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.trip.2021.100470
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发表时间：
2021-12
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Wang S
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Mack EA;Agrawal S;Wang S
新冠肺炎大流行导致了社会、经济和环境的各种变化。本文通过与其他行业和不同运输部门的比较，考察了大流行对运输业工人的就业相关影响。我们使用月度当前人口调查微观数据估计随机效应Logistic回归模型来检验以下三个假设。首先，运输业的失业率比其他行业更高。第二，运输业对就业的影响存在异质性。第三，正如疾病控制和预防中心(CDC)1a阶段疫苗接种指南所指定的那样，运输业中的特定行业比其他基本行业经历了更多的就业影响。模型结果显示，与非运输行业的工人相比，运输部门的工人因疫情而失业的可能性高出20.6%。模型结果还表明，运输业内部的就业影响存在很大的部门内异质性。出租车和豪华轿车司机失业的可能性是基本工作者的28倍。风景和观光运输工人失业的可能性是必需品工人的23.8倍。然而，在光谱的另一端，邮政工人和管道工人失业的可能性分别比基本工人低84%和67%。从政策的角度来看，这些结果表明，未来几年需要注意运输工作的几个方面，以便为未来运输业的中断做好准备。
The COVID-19 pandemic caused a variety of social, economic, and environmental changes. This paper examines the employment-related impacts of the pandemic on workers in the transportation industry compared to other industries, and within different transportation sectors. We estimated random effects logistic regression models to test the following three hypotheses using the monthly Current Population Survey micro-data. One, the transportation industry experienced a greater incidence of unemployment than other industries. Two, there is heterogeneity in employment impacts within the transportation sector. Three, specific sectors within the transportation industry experienced more employment impacts than other essential industries, as designated by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Phase 1a vaccination guidelines. Model results highlight that workers in the transportation sector were 20.6% more likely to be unemployed because of the pandemic than workers in non-transportation industries. Model results also indicate large intra-sector heterogeneities in employment impacts within the transportation sector. Taxi and limousine drivers were 28 times more likely to be unemployed compared to essential workers. Scenic and sightseeing transportation workers were 23.8 times more likely to be unemployed compared to essential workers. On the other end of the spectrum, however, postal workers and pipeline workers were 84% and 67% less likely to be unemployed compared to essential workers, respectively. From a policy perspective, these results suggest that attention to several aspects of transportation work is needed in the coming years to prepare for future interruptions to the transportation industry.
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DOI：
10.1177/0033354920976575
发表时间：
2021-03
期刊：
Public health reports (Washington, D.C. : 1974)
影响因子：
--
作者：
Abouk R;Heydari B
通讯作者：
Heydari B
影响因子：
6.4
作者：
Bian, Zilin;Zuo, Fan;Gao, Jingqin;Chen, Yanyan;Venkata, Sai Sarath Chandra Pavuluri;Bernardes, Suzana Duran;Ozbay, Kaan;Ban, Xuegang (Jeff);Wang, Jingxing
通讯作者：
Wang, Jingxing
影响因子：
13.1
作者：
Baker, Scott R.;Farrokhnia, Robert A.;Yannelis, Constantine
通讯作者：
Yannelis, Constantine
影响因子：
1.8
作者：
Agresti, A;Caffo, B;Ohman-Strickland, P
通讯作者：
Ohman-Strickland, P
影响因子：
6.7
作者：
Abu-Rayash, Azzam;Dincer, Ibrahim
通讯作者：
Dincer, Ibrahim