Delays reducing waterborne and water-related infectious diseases in China under climate change.
Delays reducing waterborne and water-related infectious diseases in China under climate change.
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DOI：
10.1038/nclimate2428
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发表时间：
2014-12
影响因子：
30.7
通讯作者：
Remais, Justin V.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hodges, Maggie;Belle, Jessica H.;Carlton, Elizabeth J.;Liang, Song;Li, Huazhong;Luo, Wei;Freeman, Matthew C.;Liu, Yang;Gao, Yang;Hess, Jeremy J.;Remais, Justin V.
尽管中国在改善水、环境卫生和个人卫生方面取得了迅速进展，但2011年仍有4.71亿人无法获得改善的卫生设施，4.01亿人无法获得家庭自来水。由于某些传染病对气候和饮水卫生条件的变化都很敏感，因此我们通过对疟疾和三种病媒传染病的温度敏感性的估计、全球气候模型的温度预测、饮水卫生基础设施发展情景和预测的人口变化，预测了2020年和2030年气候变化对中国饮水卫生相关疾病的影响。到2030年，气候变化预计将使中国在减少可归因于饮水卫生的传染病负担方面的快速进展推迟8-85个月。这一发展滞后总结了气候变化对中国WSH可归因传染病的不利影响，并可用于其他环境中，即使由于非气候原因导致疾病总负担福尔斯下降，但未来气候变化仍可能带来重大健康负担。
Despite China’s rapid progress improving water, sanitation and hygiene (WSH) access, in 2011, 471 million people lacked access to improved sanitation and 401 million to household piped water. Because certain infectious diseases are sensitive to changes in both climate and WSH conditions, we projected impacts of climate change on WSH-attributable diseases in China in 2020 and 2030 by coupling estimates of the temperature sensitivity of diarrheal diseases and three vector-borne diseases, temperature projections from global climate models, WSH-infrastructure development scenarios, and projected demographic changes. By 2030, climate change is projected to delay China’s rapid progress toward reducing WSH-attributable infectious disease burden by 8–85 months. This development delay summarizes the adverse impact of climate change on WSH-attributable infectious diseases in China, and can be used in other settings where a significant health burden may accompany future changes in climate even as the total burden of disease falls due to non-climate reasons.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.healthpol.2003.07.005
发表时间：
2004-03
期刊：
Health policy (Amsterdam, Netherlands)
影响因子：
--
作者：
Cook IG;Dummer TJ
通讯作者：
Dummer TJ
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
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通讯作者：
Yamamoto, Taro
影响因子：
5.2
作者：
BURR, ML;DAVIS, AR;ZBIJOWSKI, AG
通讯作者：
ZBIJOWSKI, AG
影响因子：
168.9
作者：
Hales, S;de Wet, N;Woodward, A
通讯作者：
Woodward, A
DOI：
10.2471/blt.11.098343
发表时间：
2012-08-01
期刊：
Bulletin of the World Health Organization: International Journal of Public Health
影响因子：
--
作者：
Carlton, Elizabeth J;Liang, Song;Remais, Justin V
通讯作者：
Remais, Justin V