How much can governments borrow? Financialization and emerging markets government borrowing capacity

How much can governments borrow? Financialization and emerging markets government borrowing capacity
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政府可以借多少钱?

DOI:
10.1080/09692290903507276
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发表时间:
2011
影响因子:
4.3
通讯作者:
Hardie I
Hardie I
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hardie I

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本文考虑了金融全球化对政府影响的关键组成部分——新兴市场政府的不同借贷能力。它着重于金融化(这里定义为交易风险的能力)与借贷能力之间的联系,分析了三个案例研究国家:巴西、黎巴嫩和土耳其。本文考虑了国内和国际债券市场,并强调了三国政府债券持有情况的差异。分析了不同金融市场参与者的金融化,集中在两个最重要的,国内商业银行和个人投资者,以及每个市场结构的金融化。有人认为,金融化程度越高,退出或做空的能力越强。这增加了借贷成本,增加了发生危机的可能性和严重程度,从而降低了政府的借贷能力。来自这三个国家的比较事件研究证明了金融化在危机或潜在危机情况下的影响。
This article considers the varied borrowing capacity of emerging market governments, a key component of the impact on governments of financial globalization. It focuses on the link between the financialization – defined here as the ability to trade risk – and borrowing capacity, analyzing three case study countries: Brazil, Lebanon and Turkey. Both domestic and international bond markets are considered and differences in the ownership of government bonds in the three countries are highlighted. The financialization of different financial market actors is analyzed, concentrating on two of the most important, domestic commercial banks and individual investors, and the financialization of the structure of each market. It is argued that the greater the financialization, the greater the ability to exit or short. This increases the cost of borrowing and increases the likelihood, and severity, of crisis, thereby reducing government borrowing capacity. Comparative event studies from the three countries demonstrate the influence of financialization in crisis, or potential crisis, situations.
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