The Economic Case for a Pandemic Fund.

The Economic Case for a Pandemic Fund.
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DOI:
10.1007/s10393-018-1338-1
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发表时间:
2018-06
期刊:
影响因子:
2.5
通讯作者:
Daszak P
Daszak P
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Berry K;Allen T;Horan RD;Shogren JF;Finnoff D;Daszak P

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2014年,埃博拉病毒在西非城市迅速蔓延,随后控制措施崩溃,导致重大经济影响以及对公共卫生和福祉的负担。美国政府为2015财年拨款54亿美元,世卫组织提议设立1亿美元紧急基金,主要用于减少未来疫情的威胁。通过流行病学分析和经济建模,我们提出,这些基金和类似基金的最佳用途是作为全球保险,以应对新出现的传染病的持续威胁。一项有效的战略将涉及加强应对疾病出现的威胁和现实的移动的和适应性强的能力的初步投资,以及不断投资以维持有效的预防和应对流行病的“国民警卫队”。这一投资将创造一个资本存量,也可以在发展中国家危机期间和危机之间提供安全治疗,降低发达国家的风险。
The rapid urban spread of Ebola virus in West Africa in 2014 and consequent breakdown of control measures led to a significant economic impact as well as the burden on public health and wellbeing. The US government appropriated $5.4 Billion for FY2015 and WHO proposed a $100 Million emergency fund largely to curtail the threat of future outbreaks. Using epidemiological analyses and economic modeling, we propose that the best use of these and similar funds would be to serve as global insurance against the continued threat of emerging infectious diseases. An effective strategy would involve the initial investment in strengthening mobile and adaptable capacity to deal with the threat and reality of disease emergence, coupled with repeated investment to maintain what is effectively a ‘national guard’ for pandemic prevention and response. This investment would create a capital stock that could also provide access to safe treatment during and between crises in developing countries, lowering risk to developed countries.
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