Emergence of the obesity epidemic preceding the presumed obesogenic transformation of the society.

Emergence of the obesity epidemic preceding the presumed obesogenic transformation of the society.
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DOI:
10.1126/sciadv.adg6237
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发表时间:
2023-09-15
期刊:
影响因子:
13.6
通讯作者:
Sorensen, Thorkild I. A.
Sorensen, Thorkild I. A.
中科院分区:
综合性期刊1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Pedersen, Mads Moller;Ekstrom, Claus Thorn;Sorensen, Thorkild I. A.

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自20世纪70年代以来,肥胖症的流行在许多国家不断演变,这被归因于当代社会普遍存在的所谓的致肥性转变,但在肥胖症流行之前是什么呢?使用分位数回归,我们研究了1930年至1976年出生的320,962名丹麦学龄儿童和1939年至1959年出生的205,153名丹麦新兵的体重指数(BMI =体重/身高2)按出生年份的百分位数分布趋势。BMI分布的百分位数总体趋势在出生年份呈线性。第75位以下的百分位数几乎是稳定的,而第75位以上的百分位数在学龄儿童和年轻男性中越极端,上升的幅度就越大。这些变化表明肥胖流行病的出现,比假定的社会致肥性转变早了几十年,并意味着其他迄今未知的因素也参与其中。从20世纪30年代到70年代,丹麦儿童和青年男性的上体质量指数百分位数稳步上升。
The obesity epidemic, evolving in many countries since the 1970s, has been attributed to the widespread contemporary so-called obesogenic transformation of the societies, but what preceded the epidemic? Using quantile regression, we studied the trends by year of birth in the percentile distribution of body mass index (BMI = weight/height2) of 320,962 Danish school children, born from 1930 to 1976, and of 205,153 Danish young conscripts, born from 1939 to 1959. The overall trend of the percentiles of the BMI distributions were found to be linear across the years of birth. While the percentiles below the 75th were almost stable, those above showed a steadily steeper rise the more extreme the percentile among both school children and young men is. These changes, indicating the emergence of the obesity epidemic, preceded the presumed obesogenic transformation of the society by several decades and imply that other, so far unknown, factors have been involved. Upper body mass index percentiles of Danish children and young men increased steadily since the 1930s through the 1970s.
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