Connectivity and systemic resilience of the Great Barrier Reef.
Connectivity and systemic resilience of the Great Barrier Reef.
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DOI:
10.1371/journal.pbio.2003355
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发表时间:
2017-11
期刊:
影响因子:
9.8
通讯作者:
Mumby PJ
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hock K;Wolff NH;Ortiz JC;Condie SA;Anthony KRN;Blackwell PG;Mumby PJ
Australia’s iconic Great Barrier Reef (GBR) continues to suffer from repeated impacts of cyclones, coral bleaching, and outbreaks of the coral-eating crown-of-thorns starfish (COTS), losing much of its coral cover in the process. This raises the question of the ecosystem’s systemic resilience and its ability to rebound after large-scale population loss. Here, we reveal that around 100 reefs of the GBR, or around 3%, have the ideal properties to facilitate recovery of disturbed areas, thereby imparting a level of systemic resilience and aiding its continued recovery. These reefs (1) are highly connected by ocean currents to the wider reef network, (2) have a relatively low risk of exposure to disturbances so that they are likely to provide replenishment when other reefs are depleted, and (3) have an ability to promote recovery of desirable species but are unlikely to either experience or spread COTS outbreaks. The great replenishment potential of these ‘robust source reefs’, which may supply 47% of the ecosystem in a single dispersal event, emerges from the interaction between oceanographic conditions and geographic location, a process that is likely to be repeated in other reef systems. Such natural resilience of reef systems will become increasingly important as the frequency of disturbances accelerates under climate change. Australia’s Great Barrier Reef is a large coral ecosystem consisting of more than 3,800 reefs. Coral populations inhabiting these reefs are connected by larvae that are dispersed by ocean currents. Modelling regional connectivity patterns reveals reefs that can act as prominent larval sources and supply larvae to other coral populations in the area. Coral populations on reefs are also subject to various disturbances, such as bleaching and outbreaks of the coral-eating crown-of-thorns starfish. These disturbances tend to have spatially explicit patterns, resulting in different levels of impact among reefs. In this study, we first use high-resolution dispersal simulations of larvae to identify the reefs most likely to support regional recovery processes due to their high connectivity. We then use oceanographic and climate models to show which reefs are likely to have a lower risk of exposure to coral bleaching and starfish outbreaks. Finally, we combine these results to find reefs that are not only likely to be good sources by being well connected but also more likely to have adult breeding stocks needed to provide the necessary larval supply. This information can support decision-making that aims to allocate management resources and prioritise sites important for the resilience of the entire reef system.
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影响因子:
3.7
作者:
Eakin CM;Morgan JA;Heron SF;Smith TB;Liu G;Alvarez-Filip L;Baca B;Bartels E;Bastidas C;Bouchon C;Brandt M;Bruckner AW;Bunkley-Williams L;Cameron A;Causey BD;Chiappone M;Christensen TR;Crabbe MJ;Day O;de la Guardia E;Díaz-Pulido G;DiResta D;Gil-Agudelo DL;Gilliam DS;Ginsburg RN;Gore S;Guzmán HM;Hendee JC;Hernández-Delgado EA;Husain E;Jeffrey CF;Jones RJ;Jordán-Dahlgren E;Kaufman LS;Kline DI;Kramer PA;Lang JC;Lirman D;Mallela J;Manfrino C;Maréchal JP;Marks K;Mihaly J;Miller WJ;Mueller EM;Muller EM;Orozco Toro CA;Oxenford HA;Ponce-Taylor D;Quinn N;Ritchie KB;Rodríguez S;Ramírez AR;Romano S;Samhouri JF;Sánchez JA;Schmahl GP;Shank BV;Skirving WJ;Steiner SC;Villamizar E;Walsh SM;Walter C;Weil E;Williams EH;Roberson KW;Yusuf Y
通讯作者:
Yusuf Y
影响因子:
5.8
作者:
Fabricius, K;De'ath, G;Williams, DM
通讯作者:
Williams, DM
影响因子:
6.3
作者:
Fox, HE;Mous, PJ;Caldwell, RL
通讯作者:
Caldwell, RL
影响因子:
5.8
作者:
Devlin, M. J.;McKinna, L. W.;Brodie, J.
通讯作者:
Brodie, J.
影响因子:
5.8
作者:
Brodie, J. E.;Kroon, F. J.;Davis, A. M.
通讯作者:
Davis, A. M.