Time-Varying Association of Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Activity to Subsequent Cardiovascular Risk.

Time-Varying Association of Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Activity to Subsequent Cardiovascular Risk.
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DOI:
10.1002/acr2.11432
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发表时间:
2022-07
影响因子:
3.4
通讯作者:
Solomon, Daniel H.
Solomon, Daniel H.
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Yoshida, Kazuki;Harrold, Leslie R.;Middaugh, Nicole;Guan, Hongshu;Stryker, Scott;Karis, Elaine;Solomon, Daniel H.

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目前尚不清楚类风湿性关节炎(RA)疾病活动与心血管(CV)事件之间的关系如何随时间变化。我们检查了RA疾病活动与CV事件的潜在时变相关性。我们使用CorEvitas流行RA登记研究。临床疾病活动指数(CDAI)评分类别(自入组以来每个6个月时间窗内的平均值)为暴露量,结局为主要不良CV事件(MACE)。我们使用边际结构模型来估计风险比(HR),将每个CDAI评分类别与缓解进行比较,允许随时间推移的差异关联。我们预测了几种CDAI评分情况下的无MACE生存期。我们发现44,816例合格患者(77%为女性;平均年龄58岁),粗事件发生率为5.3/1000人年(中位随访时间为3.4年)。在入组的前6个月内观察到较高CDAI评分与MACE之间的最强相关性(CDAI评分低的HR为2.29 [95% CI:1.21 - 4.36],中等为2.81 [95% CI:1.46 - 5.43],高为2.99 [95% CI:1.48 - 6.02])。这些估计值逐渐降低;到第5年,低CDAI评分的HR为1.00(95% CI:0.49 - 2.05),中度为1.18(95% CI:0.51 - 2.71),高CDAI评分为1.04(95% CI:0.45 - 2.40)。预测的无MACE生存期表明,假设较早过渡至缓解,MACE可能减少。在RA病程的早期,较高的疾病活动性与CV事件的相关性可能更强。可能需要进行干预性研究,以精确确定疾病活动抑制对RA患者CV事件的影响。
It is unknown how the relationship between disease activity in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and cardiovascular (CV) events may change over time. We examined the potentially time‐varying association of RA disease activity to CV events. We used the CorEvitas prevalent RA registry. The Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score category, averaged within each 6‐month window since enrollment, was the exposure, and the outcome was major adverse CV events (MACEs). We used marginal structural models to estimate the hazard ratio (HR), comparing each CDAI score category with remission, allowing for differential association over time. We predicted MACE‐free survival under several CDAI score scenarios. We found 44,816 eligible patients (77% female; mean age 58 years) with a crude event rate of 5.3/1000 person‐years (median follow‐up 3.4 years). The strongest association between higher CDAI score and MACEs was observed during the first 6 months of enrollment (HR for CDAI score low 2.29 [95% CI: 1.21‐4.36], moderate 2.81 [95% CI: 1.46‐5.43], and high 2.99 [95% CI: 1.48‐6.02]). These estimates gradually diminished; by year 5, the HRs were 1.00 (95% CI: 0.49‐2.05) for low, 1.18 (95% CI: 0.51‐2.71) for moderate, and 1.04 (95% CI: 0.45‐2.40) for high CDAI score. Predicted MACE‐free survival suggested a potential decrease in MACEs with a hypothetical earlier transition to remission. The association of higher disease activity with CV events may be stronger earlier in the disease course of RA. Interventional studies may be warranted to precisely determine the effect of disease activity suppression on CV events in RA.
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发表时间: 2021-07-01
期刊: Rheumatology (Oxford, England)
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