Mapping environmental dimensions of dengue fever transmission risk in the Aburrá Valley, Colombia.
Mapping environmental dimensions of dengue fever transmission risk in the Aburrá Valley, Colombia.
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DOI:
10.3390/ijerph6123040
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发表时间:
2009-12
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Peterson AT
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Arboleda S;Jaramillo-O N;Peterson AT
Dengue fever (DF) is endemic in Medellín, the second largest Colombian city, and surrounding municipalities. We used DF case and satellite environmental data to investigate conditions associated with suitable areas for DF occurrence in 2008 in three municipalities (Bello, Medellín and Itagüí). We develop spatially stratified tests of ecological niche models, and found generally good predictive ability, with all model tests yielding results significantly better than random expectations. We concluded that Bello and Medellín present ecological conditions somewhat different from, and more suitable for DF than, those of Itagüí. We suggest that areas predicted by our models as suitable for DF could be considered as at-risk, and could be used to guide campaigns for DF prevention in these municipalities.
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