Mapping environmental dimensions of dengue fever transmission risk in the Aburrá Valley, Colombia.

Mapping environmental dimensions of dengue fever transmission risk in the Aburrá Valley, Colombia.
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DOI:
10.3390/ijerph6123040
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发表时间:
2009-12
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Peterson AT
Peterson AT
中科院分区:
综合性期刊3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Arboleda S;Jaramillo-O N;Peterson AT

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登革热(DF)是哥伦比亚第二大城市麦德林及其周边城市的地方病。我们使用DF案例和卫星环境数据来调查2008年三个市(贝洛、麦德林和伊塔圭)与DF发生的合适区域相关的条件。我们开发的生态位模型的空间分层测试,并发现一般良好的预测能力,所有的模型测试产生的结果显着优于随机预期。我们的结论是,贝洛和麦德林目前的生态条件有些不同,更适合DF比,那些伊塔圭。我们建议,我们的模型预测为适合DF的地区可以被认为是有风险的,并可用于指导运动DF预防在这些城市。
Dengue fever (DF) is endemic in Medellín, the second largest Colombian city, and surrounding municipalities. We used DF case and satellite environmental data to investigate conditions associated with suitable areas for DF occurrence in 2008 in three municipalities (Bello, Medellín and Itagüí). We develop spatially stratified tests of ecological niche models, and found generally good predictive ability, with all model tests yielding results significantly better than random expectations. We concluded that Bello and Medellín present ecological conditions somewhat different from, and more suitable for DF than, those of Itagüí. We suggest that areas predicted by our models as suitable for DF could be considered as at-risk, and could be used to guide campaigns for DF prevention in these municipalities.
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影响因子: 4.9
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