Political polarization in US residents' COVID-19 risk perceptions, policy preferences, and protective behaviors.

Political polarization in US residents' COVID-19 risk perceptions, policy preferences, and protective behaviors.
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DOI:
10.1007/s11166-020-09336-3
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发表时间:
2020
影响因子:
4.7
通讯作者:
Goldman DP
Goldman DP
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bruine de Bruin W;Saw HW;Goldman DP

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当新型冠状病毒进入美国时,美国大部分州都实施了封锁措施。2020年4月至5月,州政府开始就是否值得冒险减少保护措施进行政治讨论。在高度政治化的环境中,风险认知和减轻风险的偏好可能因政治倾向而异。2020年4月至5月,我们对南加州大学“理解美国研究”的5517名成员进行了全国代表性样本调查。其中,37%的人认为是民主党人,32%的人认为是共和党人,31%的人认为是第三党/独立人士。总体而言,民主党人比共和党人认为与COVID-19相关的风险更大,包括感染,住院和感染后死亡,以及由于大流行而耗尽资金。民主党人也比共和党人更有可能表达对各州过快解除经济限制的担忧,并报告口罩使用和社交距离。一般来说,被认为是第三方/独立的参与者介于两者之间。民主党人更有可能报告观看MSNBC或CNN(与不),而共和党人更有可能报告观看福克斯新闻(与不),第三方/独立人士倾向于两者都不看。然而,政治倾向预测报告的政策偏好,口罩的使用,和社会距离,在分析中占媒体来源,风险认知和人口背景的差异。在这些分析中,参与者报告的媒体使用增加了对解除经济限制和报告保护行为的时间偏好的党派分歧。风险沟通的影响进行了讨论。本文的在线版本(10.1007/s11166-020-09336-3)包含补充材料,可供授权用户使用。
When the novel coronavirus entered the US, most US states implemented lockdown measures. In April–May 2020, state governments started political discussions about whether it would be worth the risk to reduce protective measures. In a highly politicized environment, risk perceptions and preferences for risk mitigation may vary by political inclinations. In April–May 2020, we surveyed a nationally representative sample of 5517 members of the University of Southern California’s Understanding America Study. Of those, 37% identified as Democrats, 32% as Republican, and 31% as Third Party/Independent. Overall, Democrats perceived more risk associated with COVID-19 than Republicans, including for getting infected, being hospitalized and dying if infected, as well as running out of money as a result of the pandemic. Democrats were also more likely than Republicans to express concerns that states would lift economic restrictions too quickly, and to report mask use and social distancing. Generally, participants who identified as Third Party/Independent fell in between. Democrats were more likely to report watching MSNBC or CNN (vs. not), while Republicans were more likely to report watching Fox News (vs. not), and Third Party/Independents tended to watch neither. However, political inclinations predicted reported policy preferences, mask use, and social distancing, in analyses that accounted for differences in use of media sources, risk perceptions, and demographic background. In these analyses, participants’ reported media use added to the partisan divide in preferences for the timing of lifting economic restrictions and reported protective behaviors. Implications for risk communication are discussed. The online version of this article (10.1007/s11166-020-09336-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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