Race, class, and marriage: Components of race differences in men's first marriage rates, United States, 1960-2019.

Race, class, and marriage: Components of race differences in men's first marriage rates, United States, 1960-2019.
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DOI:
10.4054/demres.2022.46.39
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发表时间:
2022-01
影响因子:
2.1
通讯作者:
Ruggles S
Ruggles S
中科院分区:
法学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ruggles S

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辩称,从20世纪60年代到80年代,结婚频率的种族差异是由于黑人社区缺乏适婚男性造成的。一篇大型文献使用空间上定义的男性适婚能力的衡量标准来预测女性的结婚率。这些研究得出的结论是,适婚男性的存在只能解释婚姻中的一小部分种族差异。我认为,这一发现可能反映了衡量适婚配偶可获得性的错误。我的分析从男性而不是女性的角度来评估结婚率,从而可以直接评估男性的经济地位,而不需要求助于模糊的空间指标。我为1960-1980年的人口普查开发了新的初婚率指标,并将其与2008-2019年基于调查的指标相结合。我使用经典的分解方法来评估1960年至2019年期间男性初婚率的种族差异与经济构成的变化关系。分析表明,在20世纪中后期,经济构成的种族差异足够大,足以解释初婚率的大部分种族差异,但随着时间的推移,经济组成部分的规模急剧下降。自20世纪末以来,随着养家糊口的男性家庭的减少,男性经济状况对结婚率的种族差异的作用有所减弱,但这种作用仍然很大。利用一种新的研究策略和一种新的初婚衡量标准,这项分析对60年来初婚率的种族差异进行了一致的分解。
argued that race differences in the frequency of marriage from the 1960s to the 1980s resulted from a shortage of marriageable men in the Black community. A large literature used spatially defined measures of male marriageability to predict marriage rates of women. These studies concluded that the availability of marriageable men can explain only a fraction of race differences in marriage. I argue that this finding may reflect errors in the measurement of the availability of marriageable spouses. My analysis assesses marriage rates from the perspective of men instead of women, allowing direct assessment of men’s economic positions without resorting to fuzzy spatial indicators. I develop new measures of first marriage rates for the 1960–1980 censuses and combine them with survey-based measures for 2008–2019. I use classic decomposition methods to assess the changing relationship of economic composition to race differences in male first marriage rates over the 1960–2019 period. The analysis shows that in the mid- to late 20th century, race differences in economic composition were sufficiently large to account for most race differences in first marriage rates, but the size of the economic component declined dramatically over time. With the decline of male-breadwinner families since the late 20th century, the role of male economic circumstances for race differences in marriage rates has diminished, but it remains substantial. Leveraging a new research strategy and a new measure of first marriage, this analysis provides a consistent decomposition of race differences in first marriage rates over six decades.
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