PREDICTORS OF RECIDIVISM OVER 3 YEARS AMONG SUBSTANCE-USING WOMEN RELEASED FROM JAIL.

PREDICTORS OF RECIDIVISM OVER 3 YEARS AMONG SUBSTANCE-USING WOMEN RELEASED FROM JAIL.
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DOI:
10.1177/0093854814546894
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发表时间:
2014-11
影响因子:
2.1
通讯作者:
Funk, Rodney R.
Funk, Rodney R.
中科院分区:
心理学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Scot, Christy K.;Grela, Christine E.;Denis, Michael L.;Funk, Rodney R.

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本研究探讨预测累犯超过3年的624名妇女从县监狱释放使用一系列全面的标准化措施,来自性别敏感和性别中立的犯罪成因累犯模型。虽然在单变量分析中有十几个因素与累犯有关,但多变量分析表明,累犯可以可靠地预测(曲线下面积= 0.90),只有四个因素:年龄,没有监护权的儿童,物质使用频率和物质问题的数量。对在释放后1至3个月、4至12个月和13至36个月内再次犯罪的妇女进行的探索性分析显示,几个变量(年龄、超级乐观主义和监狱治疗计划中的周数)的影响取决于从监狱释放后所经历的时间,而其他变量(物质使用和监护权)随着时间的推移具有持续的影响。这些研究结果支持为女性罪犯量身定制的重返社会服务的发展,这些服务解决了性别敏感和性别中立的犯罪风险因素。
This study examines predictors of recidivism over 3 years for 624 women released from a county jail using a comprehensive range of standardized measures derived from gender-responsive and gender-neutral criminogenic recidivism models. Although more than a dozen factors were related to recidivism in the univariate analysis, the multivariate analysis shows that recidivism can be reliably predicted (area under the curve = 0.90) with just four factors: age, no custody of children, substance use frequency, and number of substance problems. Exploratory analysis of women who recidivated in post-release months 1 to 3, 4 to 12, and 13 to 36 revealed that the effects of several variables (age, super optimism, and number of weeks in the jail treatment program) were dependent on the time elapsed since release from jail, whereas others (substance use and custody) had persistent effects over time. These findings support the development of re-entry services tailored for female offenders who address both gender-responsive and gender-neutral criminogenic risk factors.
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