Future scenarios of marine resources and ecosystem conditions in the Eastern Mediterranean under the impacts of fishing, alien species and sea warming.
Future scenarios of marine resources and ecosystem conditions in the Eastern Mediterranean under the impacts of fishing, alien species and sea warming.
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DOI：
10.1038/s41598-018-32666-x
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发表时间：
2018-09-24
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Gal G
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Corrales X;Coll M;Ofir E;Heymans JJ;Steenbeek J;Goren M;Edelist D;Gal G
使用时间-动态校准的Ecosim食物网模型，我们评估了未来变化对以色列地中海大陆架海洋资源和生态系统条件的影响。这一地区遭到了印度-太平洋物种的强烈入侵。该区域暴露在极端环境条件下，气候变化率很高，并经历了巨大的渔业压力。我们测试了目前正在实施的一套新的捕捞法规、政府间气候变化专门委员会预测后海洋温度持续上升以及外来物种生物量持续增加的影响。我们首先分别调查这些压力源的影响，然后将它们结合起来评估它们的累积影响。我们的结果显示了减少捕捞努力的总体潜在未来好处，以及海洋温度上升和外来物种生物量增加的不利影响。累积情景表明，在共同行动时，海洋温度上升和外来物种的影响可能会削弱减少渔业的有益影响。这些结果说明了在基于生态系统的管理方法中包括渔业以外的压力因素的重要性，例如气候变化和生物入侵。这些结果支持需要减少诸如捕鱼和生物入侵等地方和区域压力因素，以促进对海洋变暖的复原力。
Using a temporal-dynamic calibrated Ecosim food web model, we assess the effects of future changes on marine resources and ecosystem conditions of the Israeli Mediterranean continental shelf. This region has been intensely invaded by Indo-Pacific species. The region is exposed to extreme environmental conditions, is subjected to high rates of climate change and has experienced intense fishing pressure. We test the impacts of a new set of fishing regulations currently being implemented, a continued increase in sea temperatures following IPCC projections, and a continued increase in alien species biomass. We first investigate the impacts of the stressors separately, and then we combine them to evaluate their cumulative effects. Our results show overall potential future benefits of fishing effort reductions, and detrimental impacts of increasing sea temperature and increasing biomass of alien species. Cumulative scenarios suggest that the beneficial effects of fisheries reduction may be dampened by the impact of increasing sea temperature and alien species when acting together. These results illustrate the importance of including stressors other than fisheries, such as climate change and biological invasions, in an ecosystem-based management approach. These results support the need for reducing local and regional stressors, such as fishing and biological invasions, in order to promote resilience to sea warming.
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影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Coll M;Piroddi C;Steenbeek J;Kaschner K;Ben Rais Lasram F;Aguzzi J;Ballesteros E;Bianchi CN;Corbera J;Dailianis T;Danovaro R;Estrada M;Froglia C;Galil BS;Gasol JM;Gertwagen R;Gil J;Guilhaumon F;Kesner-Reyes K;Kitsos MS;Koukouras A;Lampadariou N;Laxamana E;López-Fé de la Cuadra CM;Lotze HK;Martin D;Mouillot D;Oro D;Raicevich S;Rius-Barile J;Saiz-Salinas JI;San Vicente C;Somot S;Templado J;Turon X;Vafidis D;Villanueva R;Voultsiadou E
通讯作者：
Voultsiadou E
影响因子：
9.8
作者：
Côté IM;Darling ES
通讯作者：
Darling ES
影响因子：
3.1
作者：
Christensen, V;Walters, CJ
通讯作者：
Walters, CJ
DOI：
10.1016/0967-0637(96)00012-x
发表时间：
1996-02-01
影响因子：
2.4
作者：
Brasseur, P;Beckers, JM;Schoenauen, R
通讯作者：
Schoenauen, R
影响因子：
6.4
作者：
Coll, Marta;Piroddi, Chiara;Pauly, Daniel
通讯作者：
Pauly, Daniel