Assessing alternative occupations for truck drivers in an emerging era of autonomous vehicles
Assessing alternative occupations for truck drivers in an emerging era of autonomous vehicles
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评估自动驾驶汽车新兴时代卡车司机的替代职业
DOI：
10.1016/j.trip.2023.100793
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发表时间：
2023
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Baker, Nathan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Wang, Sicheng;Mack, Elizabeth A.;Van Fossen, Jenna A.;Medwid, Laura;Cotten, Shelia R.;Chang, Chu-Hsiang;Mann, John;Miller, Steven R.;Savolainen, Peter T.;Baker, Nathan
这项研究确定了重型卡车司机的替代职业，并从薪酬、进入的便利性和未来的就业增长方面评估了这些替代职业的相对吸引力。我们还评估了卡车驾驶工作和同一州内可用替代工作之间的地理对应关系，给出了关于求职者地理刚性的研究证据。我们制定了两种战略来确定替代职业。一种方法表明，对于35%或更多的卡车驾驶劳动力，可能没有足够的工作可供选择。第二种选择表明，当流离失所水平超过50%时，工作选择不足。尽管有这些不同的情况，但我们的结果显示了一些重要的工作选择趋势。大多数替代方案是在1区和2区，这两个区几乎不需要对被取代的司机进行额外的培训和/或教育。不幸的是，确定的替代方案的工资低于卡车司机的工作，这表明可能会失去收入。对替代工作的预测需求也因职业而异。一些替代方案预计将出现就业增长，而另一些方案预计将出现失业。最后，还有一些地理趋势，这些州预计将面临更大的就业损失，而且没有足够的替代工作供工人选择。我们的发现表明，位于美国中部的州尤其如此。将需要针对地区劳动力市场和可用的工作替代方案制定积极的劳动力政策，以帮助卡车司机过渡到新的职业。这些政策应特别注意卡车驾驶劳动力的具体特点。
This study identifies alternative occupations for heavy truck drivers and evaluates the relative attractiveness of these alternatives in terms of compensation, ease of entry and future job growth. We also evaluate the geographic correspondence between truck driving jobs and available alternatives within the same state given research evidence about geographic rigidities in job seekers. We develop two strategies for identifying alternative occupations. One approach suggests that there may not be sufficient job alternatives for a displacement of 35% or more of the truck-driving workforce. The second alternative suggests insufficient job alternatives when displacement levels exceed 50%. Despite these varied pictures, our results present some important trends among job alternatives. Most alternatives were in Job Zones 1 and 2 which require little additional training and/or education for displaced drivers. Unfortunately, the identified alternatives paid lower wages than truck-driving jobs, indicating a potential loss of income. The projected demand for alternative jobs also varied by occupation. Some alternatives are projected to have employment growth, while others are projected to have job losses. Lastly, there were geographic trends in states projected to experience greater losses of driving jobs, and that do not have sufficient alternative jobs for workers. Our findings indicate that this is particularly true for states located in Middle America. Proactive labor policies that are tailored to the regional labor market and available job alternatives will be needed to help truck drivers transition into new occupations. These policies should be particularly mindful of the specific characteristics of the truck-driving workforce.
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DOI：
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发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
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作者：
Zhiqiu Jiang;Sicheng Wang;A. Mondschein;R. Noland
通讯作者：
R. Noland
自动驾驶汽车对就业的影响
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
--
作者：
David N. Beede;R. Powers;C. Ingram
通讯作者：
C. Ingram
影响因子：
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作者：
Gittleman, Maury;Monaco, Kristen
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影响因子：
3
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通讯作者：
J. McDowell
DOI：
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发表时间：
1989
期刊：
影响因子：
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作者：
S. LeMay;Stephen Taylor
通讯作者：
Stephen Taylor