Transitive in Our Preferences, But Transitive in Different Ways: An Analysis of Choice Variability
Transitive in Our Preferences, But Transitive in Different Ways: An Analysis of Choice Variability
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我们的偏好具有传递性，但传递方式不同：选择变异性的分析
DOI：
10.1037/dec0000011
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发表时间：
2014
影响因子：
0.8
通讯作者：
C. Davis
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Daniel R. Cavagnaro;Fullerton;C. Davis
许多实证研究都考察了偏好的传递性是否是人类决策的一个可行公理，但根据他们如何模拟选择可变性，他们得出了不同的结论。为了使这些看似矛盾的文献结果保持一致，本文超越了传递性是否成立的二元问题，而是提出：传递性以何种方式随机成立（或不成立），以及传递性偏好在个人层面上有多强大？为了回答这些问题，我们重新分析了过去7个实验的数据，使用贝叶斯模型选择将随机传递性的主要模型置于直接竞争中，并进行了一个新的实验，研究直接时间压力约束下的传递性。我们发现大多数个体满足传递性，但根据不同的随机规范（即选择变异性模型），并且个体在决策环境中的传递性“类型”基本稳定。因此，偏好的传递性，以及与之相关的特定类型的个人选择可变性，在个人层面上似乎是强大的属性。
Numerous empirical studies have examined the question of whether transitivity of preference is a viable axiom of human decision making, but they arrive at different conclusions depending on how they model choice variability. To bring some consistency to these seemingly conflicting results from the literature, this article moves beyond the binary question of whether or not transitivity holds, asking instead: In what way does transitivity hold (or not hold) stochastically, and how robust is (in)transitive preference at the individual level? To answer these questions, we reanalyze data from 7 past experiments, using Bayesian model selection to place the major models of stochastic (in)transitivity in direct competition, and also carry out a new experiment examining transitivity under direct time pressure constraints. We find that a majority of individuals satisfy transitivity, but according to different stochastic specifications (i.e., models of choice variability), and that individuals are largely stable in their transitivity “types” across decision making environments. Thus, transitivity of preference, as well as the particular type of individual choice variability associated with it, appear to be robust properties at the individual level.
DOI：
10.1037/0278-7393.11.3.538
发表时间：
1985-01-01
影响因子：
2.6
作者：
BUSEMEYER, JR
通讯作者：
BUSEMEYER, JR
影响因子：
5.4
作者：
Roe, RM;Busemeyer, JR;Townsend, JT
通讯作者：
Townsend, JT