Multimodal Transportation Flows in Energy Networks with an Application to Crude Oil Markets

Multimodal Transportation Flows in Energy Networks with an Application to Crude Oil Markets
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能源网络中的多式联运流程及其在原油市场的应用

DOI:
10.1007/s11067-018-9387-0
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发表时间:
2019
影响因子:
2.4
通讯作者:
Siddiqui, Sauleh
Siddiqui, Sauleh
中科院分区:
工程技术3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Oke, Olufolajimi;Huppmann, Daniel;Marshall, Max;Poulton, Ricky;Siddiqui, Sauleh

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能源市场网络模型有利于分析和决策,以应对与各种形式的能源生产、分配和消费相关的挑战。尽管人们越来越意识到燃料传输的环境和安全影响,例如排放、泄漏和其他有害影响,但各种类型网络的现有能源模型尚未完全捕捉与提供限制这些影响的途径相关的模式区别。为了解决详细多模式分析中的这一缺陷,我们在最近的工作基础上开发了一个部分平衡模型,该模型结合了能源网络内多模式燃料传输的表示。在北美原油市场的一项新颖应用中,我们还证明了我们的模型是探索降低该地区轻质和重质原油运输风险途径的有用工具。我们获得的结果表明,铁路装载限制、管道部署和终止石油出口禁令的综合策略对于减少铁路原油运输并减轻相关风险最为有效。
Network models of energy markets have been beneficial for analyses and decision-making to tackle challenges related to the production, distribution and consumption of energy in its various forms. Despite the growing awareness of environmental and safety impacts of fuel transfer, such as emissions, spills and other harmful effects, existing energy models for various types of networks are yet to fully capture modal distinctions which are relevant to providing pathways to limiting these impacts. To address this deficit in detailed multimodal analyses, we have built on recent work to develop a partial-equilibrium model that incorporates the representation of multimodal fuel transfer within energy networks. In a novel application to the North American crude oil market, we also demonstrate that our model is a useful tool for exploring avenues for reducing the risks of light and heavy crude oil transportation across this region. The results we obtain indicate that a combined strategy of rail loading restrictions, pipeline deployments and a discontinuation of the oil export ban is most effective in reducing the transportation of crude oil by rail and thereby mitigating the associated risks.
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