Bombing and Mining in War: Evidence from Cambodia

Bombing and Mining in War: Evidence from Cambodia
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战争中的轰炸和采矿:来自柬埔寨的证据

DOI:
10.1093/jogss/ogz046
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发表时间:
2020
影响因子:
1.6
通讯作者:
Tominaga Yasutaka
Tominaga Yasutaka
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Kohama Shoko;Ohtsuki Kazuto;Tominaga Yasutaka

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本研究探讨了内战期间军事战略的政治经济决定因素,以解释某些冲突地区及其居民因空中轰炸和地雷而遭受的痛苦程度。寻求战后租金的对手考虑到在目标社会使用武器的不同后果:轰炸造成瞬时破坏,而地雷对人类活动(如劳动力)造成持续但逐渐消失的负面外部性。因此,可以预期,具有不同特点的经济租金与使用不同类型的武器有关,因为冲突后从这些租金中获得的利益各不相同。本研究着重于冲突地区现有经济租金的性质,表明当目标领土在经济上依赖可再生资源和农业等工业时,更有可能进行空中轰炸,而在拥有宝石等易腐资源的领土上,更有可能使用地雷。一项实证分析,利用新编制的地理编码数据的位置,美国空袭和地雷污染在柬埔寨内战期间发现农业生产力和空袭的数量之间的强有力的正相关关系,以及接近大型宝石矿床和地雷污染,保持主要的战术变量不变。研究结果表明,社会的经济结构对敌人作战的方式有相当大的影响,因此也会影响人们如何遭受战争。
This study explores the political-economic determinants of military strategy during civil war to explain the intensity of suffering that certain conflict zones and their inhabitants suffer due to aerial bombing and landmines. Adversaries seeking post-war rents consider distinct consequences of weapons use in the target society: bombing causes instantaneous destruction, whereas landmines cause persistent but fading negative externalities on human activities, such as labor. Thus, it is expected that economic rents with different characteristics are associated with the use of different types of weapons because the benefits derived from these rents after the conflict vary. By focusing on the nature of economic rents available in conflict zones, this study demonstrates that aerial bombing is more likely when the targeted territory relies economically on renewable resources and industries such as agriculture, whereas landmines are more likely to be used in territories endowed with perishable resources such as gemstones. An empirical analysis utilizing newly compiled geo-coded data on the locations of US airstrikes and landmine contamination during the Cambodian Civil War finds strong positive associations between agricultural productivity and the number of airstrikes, and between the proximity to large gem deposits and landmine contamination, holding major tactical variables constant. The results suggest that societies' economic structures have a sizable effect on the manner in which adversaries fight a war and, therefore, affect how people suffer from it.
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