Serum CA 19-9 and risk of incident diabetes in middle-aged and elderly Chinese: a prospective cohort study

Serum CA 19-9 and risk of incident diabetes in middle-aged and elderly Chinese: a prospective cohort study
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中国中老年人血清CA 19-9与糖尿病发生风险:一项前瞻性队列研究

DOI:
10.1007/s00592-016-0937-y
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发表时间:
2017-02
期刊:
影响因子:
3.8
通讯作者:
Lu Jieli
Lu Jieli
中科院分区:
医学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Du Rui;Sun Wanwan;Lin Lin;Sun Jichao;Peng Kui;Xu Yu;Xu Min;Chen Yuhong;Bi Yufang;Wang Weiqing;Li Donghui;Lu Jieli

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AimsCarbohydrate抗原(CA) 19-9是胃肠道和胰腺癌的肿瘤标志物。以往的研究发现CA 19-9在糖尿病患者中升高,但在前瞻性研究中对其与糖尿病风险的关系知之甚少。我们的目的是评估血清CA 19-9与中国人群发生糖尿病风险之间的关系。方法数据来自一项前瞻性队列研究,共纳入2391名中国中老年患者,中位随访3.8年。研究结果的测量是糖尿病发生率。结果与最低四分位数个体相比,CA 19-9最高四分位数个体的糖尿病发病率显著高于最低四分位数个体(12.54比8.86%,P= 0.04)。在完全调整后的logistic回归模型中,与最低四分位数相比,CA 19-9的最高四分位数与糖尿病发生风险增加58%显著相关[优势比(OR), 95%可信区间(CI) 1.58, 1.02-2.44]。分层分析表明,风险增加仅发生在女性(OR, 95% CI 1.96, 1.10-3.48)、年龄≥65岁(OR, 95% CI 2.32, 1.03-5.19)、体重指数≥24 (OR, 95% CI 2.09, 1.20-3.63)、目前不饮酒者(OR, 95% CI 1.79, 1.09-2.92)、葡萄糖调节功能受损者(OR, 95% CI 2.49, 1.33-4.67)。IGR与血清CA 19-9之间存在显著交互作用(交互作用p <0.0001)。结论中国中老年人群血清CA 19-9与糖尿病发病风险显著增高相关。需要进一步的调查来证实这种关联并揭示潜在的机制。
AimsCarbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 is a tumor marker for gastrointestinal and pancreatic cancers. Previous studies found that CA 19-9 was elevated in patients with diabetes, but little is known about its relationship with diabetes risk in prospective studies. Our objective was to evaluate the association between serum CA 19-9 and the risk of incident diabetes in Chinese population.MethodsData were obtained from a prospective cohort study among 2391 middle-aged and elderly Chinese with a median follow-up of 3.8 years. The measurement for the study outcome was incident diabetes.ResultsCompared with individuals in the lowest quartile, those in the highest quartile of CA 19-9 had significantly higher incidence of diabetes (12.54 vs. 8.86%,P= 0.04). In the fully adjusted logistic regression model, compared with the lowest quartile, the highest quartile of CA 19-9 was significantly associated with 58% increased risk of incident diabetes [odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.58, 1.02–2.44]. Stratified analysis suggested that the increased risk was seen only in women (OR, 95% CI 1.96, 1.10–3.48), or participants aged ≥65 (OR, 95% CI 2.32, 1.03–5.19), or those with body mass index ≥24 (OR, 95% CI 2.09, 1.20–3.63), or current nondrinkers (OR, 95% CI 1.79, 1.09–2.92), or those with impaired glucose regulation (IGR) (OR, 95% CI 2.49, 1.33–4.67). Significant interaction was detected between IGR and serum CA 19-9 (Pfor interaction <0.0001).ConclusionsSerum CA 19-9 is associated with a significantly increased risk of diabetes among the middle-aged and elderly Chinese population. Further investigations are needed to confirm this association and disclose potential mechanisms.
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DOI: --
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