Regional Opportunities for China to Go Low-Carbon: Results from the REEC Model
Regional Opportunities for China to Go Low-Carbon: Results from the REEC Model
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中国低碳发展的区域机遇:REEC 模型的结果
DOI:
10.5547/01956574.37.si1.hdua
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发表时间:
2016-01
期刊:
影响因子:
2.9
通讯作者:
Fan, Ying
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Duan, Hongbo;Zhu, Lei;Kumbaroglu, Guerkan;Fan, Ying
The intention of this paper is to (i) introduce a multi-regional dynamic emissions trading model and (ii) examine the potential impact of an emissions trading scheme (ETS) on the long-term evolution of energy technologies from national and regional perspectives in China. The establishment of this model is a salutary attempt to Sinicize the global integrated assessment model that combines economy, energy, and environment systems. The simulation results indicate that: (1) for majority of regions, ETS is more effective in cutting CO2 emissions than a harmonized carbon tax (HCT), but this might not be true for the entire country, which means that these two options have little difference in overall carbon reduction; (2) carbon tax policy is a more cost-effective option in curbing CO2 with respect to ETS in the long run; (3) neither ETS nor pure carbon tax provide enough incentives for the breakthrough of carbon-free energy technologies, which illustrates that matching with some other support policies, such as subsidies and R&D investment, is essential to extend the niche market; and (4) In the context of ETS, the diffusion of non-fossil technologies in regions that act as sellers performs much better than this diffusion in the buyer regions.
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