Using Genuine Savings for Climate Policy Evaluation with an Integrated Assessment Model

Using Genuine Savings for Climate Policy Evaluation with an Integrated Assessment Model
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通过综合评估模型利用真实储蓄进行气候政策评估

DOI:
10.1007/s10640-018-0292-2
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发表时间:
2018
影响因子:
5.9
通讯作者:
Hanley Nick
Hanley Nick
中科院分区:
经济学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Tokimatsu Koji;Dupuy Louis;Hanley Nick

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最近,人们加大了努力,开发更广泛的模型,以评估气候变化和气候变化政策的影响,无论是在影响措施方面(超出国内生产总值),还是在建模复杂性方面(超出DICE/RICE模型)。旨在减少二氧化碳排放的气候政策可以对多个经济部门产生影响,并随着时间的推移改变消费水平。我们展示了可持续性指标真实储蓄如何在一般均衡模型中内生化,并用作判断此类政策对未来福祉影响的标准。讨论了CO2减排情景之间的真实储蓄率差异。我们展示了如何对气候变化进行更广泛的、基于真实储蓄的评估,从而重新评估各种气候变化相关政策不作为的后果和成本;以及如何在统一的建模框架内分析多种环境和福祉结果。
There has been a recent increase in efforts to develop broader models to assess the impact of climate change and climate change policies, both in terms of impact measures (beyond GDP) and in terms of modelling complexity (beyond DICE/RICE models). Climate policies aimed at reducing CO2emissions can have impacts in multiple sectors of the economy, and can change consumption levels over time. We show how the sustainability indicator Genuine Savings can be endogenised within a general equilibrium model and used as a criterion for judging the impacts of such policies in terms of future well-being. Differences in Genuine Savings rates between CO2emission reduction scenarios are discussed. We show how a broader, Genuine Savings-based assessment of climate change can result in a re-evaluation of the consequences and costs of inaction in terms of various climate change-related policies; and how multiple environmental and well-being outcomes can be analysed within a unified modelling framework.
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