Residential preference transitions of disaster victims: A case using three-wave panel data in Mashiki following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake in Japan
Residential preference transitions of disaster victims: A case using three-wave panel data in Mashiki following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake in Japan
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灾民的居住偏好转变：2016 年日本熊本地震后益木市使用三波面板数据的案例
DOI：
10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102062
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发表时间：
2021
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
T.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Watanabe;H. and Maruyama;T.
日本政府向因灾难而无法重建家园的灾民提供灾后公共住房(PDPH)。PDPH的有效供应需要根据调查结果对住房需求进行准确预测。然而，不可忽视的家庭往往会从最初的调查中改变他们的居住偏好，这些变化使得需求预测变得困难。这项研究旨在考察2016年熊本大地震后日本Mashiki灾民居住偏好的转变。本研究利用三波面板资料分析，包括两组住户调查资料及PDPH申请者资料，以更准确地调查受灾人士的行为，并为灾害管理提供预测工具。结果显示，最初倾向于“重建/修复自己的家园”或“搬迁到其他地方”、有年轻户主、没有住在灾后临时住房、年收入高的家庭倾向于取消搬进PDPH。这些结果有助于预测未来灾害中居民偏好的转变。这项研究可以建立模式，进而帮助地方政府预测作为救灾形式提供的PDPH的需求。
The Japanese government supplies post-disaster public housing (PDPH) to victims who are unable to rebuild homes damaged by a disaster. The efficient supply of PDPH requires an accurate prediction of housing demand, based on survey results. However, non-negligible households often change their residential preferences from the initial survey, and these changes make the demand prediction difficult. This study aims to examine the transition of victims’ residential preferences in Mashiki, Japan, post the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake. The study utilizes a three-wave panel data analysis comprising two sets of household survey data and the applicant data for PDPH to investigate disaster victim behavior with greater accuracy and provide a predictive tool for disaster management. The results indicate that households that initially preferred “rebuilding/repairing their homes” or “relocating to another place,” had young householders, did not live in post-disaster temporary housing, and had a high annual income tended to cancel moving into PDPH. These results can be instrumental in predicting the transition of residential preferences in future disasters. This study can establish patterns that, in turn, would help local governments predict the demand of PDPH provided as a form of disaster relief.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.06.027
发表时间：
2017-09-01
影响因子：
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DOI：
--
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