Dynamics of state-building after war: External-internal relations in Eurasian de facto states

Dynamics of state-building after war: External-internal relations in Eurasian de facto states
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战后国家建设的动态:欧亚事实国家的内外关系

DOI:
10.1016/j.polgeo.2017.06.011
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发表时间:
2018
影响因子:
4.1
通讯作者:
Bakke K
Bakke K
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bakke K

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战后的国家建设充满了挑战,因为“战争制造者”转向成为“国家制造者”。公民对公共产品供应和人身安全的评估提供了一个衡量内部如何看待国家建设的尺度。国家建设也可能需要对外依赖(例如,俄罗斯为后苏联时代的事实国提供了大量的财政和军事援助),但新的国家当局希望被视为不仅仅是傀儡。我们研究内部和外部的国家建设动态之间的关系,在培养公民的信心,在战后国家。我们使用原始的人口调查来分析民意和按地理位置分类的数据,从四个后苏联的事实国阿布哈兹,纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫,南奥塞梯和外德涅斯特出生的战争的地方暴力。我们研究的标量关系,从个人嵌入在当地的情况下,以区域(事实上的领土)和超国家(庇护国和合法性在国际社会),他们的特点。我们发现,对庇护国的不信任降低了对事实上的国家总统的信任,并转化为对现行秩序的缺乏信心。随着对冲突复发的恐惧增加和对经济的失望加剧,这些关系在由赞助人信任-不信任的规模所定义的路径上得以维持。
Post-war state-building is fraught with challenges as “war-makers” pivot to become “state-makers.” Citizen assessments of public good provision and physical security provide a measure of how state-building is perceived internally. State-building may also necessitate external dependence (Russia, for example, provides significant financial and military assistance to the post-Sovietde factostates), yet new state authorities want to be seen as more than puppets. We study the relationship between internal and external state-building dynamics in fostering citizen confidence in the post-war state. We use original population surveys to analyze public opinion and geographically disaggregated data on local violence from four post-Sovietde factostates—Abkhazia, Nagorno-Karabakh, South Ossetia, and Transdniestria—born of war. We examine the scalar relationships—from the individual embedded in the local context, to the regional (de factoterritory) and supra-national (patron state and legitimacy in the international community)—that characterize them. We find that distrust of the patron state reduces trust in thede factostate president and translates into a lack of confidence in the prevailing order. As fears of conflict recurrence increase and disappointments about the economy worsen, these relationships are maintained across the pathways defined by the scale of patron trust-distrust.
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