The Objects of Probabilities

概率的对象

• 批准号: DP1097075
• 负责人: Prof Alan Hajek
• 金额: $ 19.72万
• 依托单位: The Australian National University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2010-01-01 至 2014-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP1097075
• 关键词: Objects; Probabilities

Probabilities impact almost every aspect of our lives. Actuaries calculate probabilities of property loss due to bushfires, while climatologists warn that such probabilities will increase alarmingly. Probabilities abound in engineering, medicine, the law, the sciences and social sciences, and much philosophy. Yet we lack a proper understanding of the kinds of things that receive probabilities: the objects of probabilities. This project will provide such understanding. It will rethink the foundations of probability and decision theory, with potential ramifications for the philosophy, science, and public policy that are based on these theories. It thus aims to strengthen Australia's research profile and international standing in these areas.

概率几乎影响了我们生活的各个方面。精算师计算丛林大火引起的财产损失的概率，而气候学家警告说，这种概率会令人震惊。工程，医学，法律，科学和社会科学以及许多哲学的概率比比皆是。然而，我们对接收概率的事物的种类缺乏适当的理解：概率的对象。该项目将提供这种理解。它将重新考虑概率和决策理论的基础，并以基于这些理论的哲学，科学和公共政策产生潜在的影响。因此，它旨在加强澳大利亚在这些领域的研究概况和国际地位。