The Objects of Probabilities

概率的对象

• 批准号: DP1097075
• 负责人: Prof Alan Hajek
• 金额: $ 19.72万
• 依托单位: The Australian National University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2010-01-01 至 2014-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP1097075
• 关键词: Objects; Probabilities

Probabilities impact almost every aspect of our lives. Actuaries calculate probabilities of property loss due to bushfires, while climatologists warn that such probabilities will increase alarmingly. Probabilities abound in engineering, medicine, the law, the sciences and social sciences, and much philosophy. Yet we lack a proper understanding of the kinds of things that receive probabilities: the objects of probabilities. This project will provide such understanding. It will rethink the foundations of probability and decision theory, with potential ramifications for the philosophy, science, and public policy that are based on these theories. It thus aims to strengthen Australia's research profile and international standing in these areas.

概率几乎影响到我们生活的方方面面。精算师计算森林大火造成财产损失的可能性，而气候学家警告说，这种可能性将以惊人的速度增加。在工程学、医学、法学、科学和社会科学以及许多哲学领域，都有大量的可能性。然而，我们对接受概率的事物的种类缺乏正确的理解：概率的对象。这个项目将提供这样的理解。它将重新思考概率和决策理论的基础，并对基于这些理论的哲学、科学和公共政策产生潜在的影响。因此，它的目的是加强澳大利亚在这些领域的研究形象和国际地位。