A Unified Theory of 'If's

“如果”的统一理论

• 批准号: DP230100290
• 负责人: Prof Alan Hajek
• 金额: $ 23.25万
• 依托单位: The Australian National University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2023-12-11 至 2026-12-10
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP230100290
• 关键词: Unified; Theory

This project aims to develop a unified theory of ‘if’s. Our understanding of an uncertain and risky world requires hypothetical reasoning involving ‘if’s. They are significant theoretically: in science, history, politics, economics, psychology, computer science, linguistics, and philosophy. They are significant practically: in our planning, decision-making, policy priorities, legal judgments, environmental and medical interventions. Yet we lack a comprehensive, readily implementable theory of ‘if’s. The project expects to provide such a theory, based on probability, improving on approaches from philosophy and linguistics, and benefitting both these fields. It also promises significant benefits for artificial intelligence/machine learning.

这个项目旨在发展一个统一的‘如果’理论。我们对不确定和危险世界的理解需要涉及‘如果’的假设推理。它们在理论上具有重要意义：在科学、历史、政治、经济学、心理学、计算机科学、语言学和哲学中。它们在实践中具有重要意义：在我们的规划、决策、政策优先事项、法律判决、环境和医疗干预方面。然而，我们缺乏一个全面的、易于实现的‘如果’理论。该项目期望提供这样一个基于概率的理论，改进哲学和语言学的方法，并使这两个领域都受益。它还有望为人工智能/机器学习带来重大好处。