A Unified Theory of 'If's

“如果”的统一理论

• 批准号: DP230100290
• 负责人: Prof Alan Hajek
• 金额: $ 23.25万
• 依托单位: The Australian National University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2023-12-11 至 2026-12-10
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP230100290
• 关键词: Unified; Theory

This project aims to develop a unified theory of ‘if’s. Our understanding of an uncertain and risky world requires hypothetical reasoning involving ‘if’s. They are significant theoretically: in science, history, politics, economics, psychology, computer science, linguistics, and philosophy. They are significant practically: in our planning, decision-making, policy priorities, legal judgments, environmental and medical interventions. Yet we lack a comprehensive, readily implementable theory of ‘if’s. The project expects to provide such a theory, based on probability, improving on approaches from philosophy and linguistics, and benefitting both these fields. It also promises significant benefits for artificial intelligence/machine learning.

该项目旨在发展一个统一的“ IF”理论。我们对一个不确定和冒险的世界的理解需要假设的推理，涉及“ IF”。它们具有重要的理论：在科学，历史，政治，经济学，心理学，计算机科学，语言学和哲学上。它们非常实用：在我们的计划，决策，政策优先事项，法律法官，环境和医疗干预措施中。然而，我们缺乏一个全面的，易于实现的理论。该项目希望基于概率，改善哲学和语言学的方法，并从中受益。它还有望为人工智能/机器学习带来重大好处。