Range dynamics and demographics of spatially structured populations under global change

为什么某些物种在某些地方出现，而在其他地方却没有？这是一个简单的、基本的生态学问题，然而令人惊讶的是，我们在这一点上的答案还远远没有完成。使用一个综合的，基于系统的方法，我们将确定之间的相互作用：（i）出生，死亡和运动率，（ii）物种的相互作用，（iii）物理环境的限制（温度，降雨量，土壤类型），这决定了物种的范围的限制。我们的模型将为澳大利亚保护管理人员提供一个新颖的，经过验证的工具箱，以探索权衡和协同作用，内在的试图适应气候变化和其他压力对生物多样性。

Why are particular species present in some locations, but not others? This is a simple, fundamental ecological question, yet surprisingly, our answers on this point remain far from complete. Using an integrated, systems-based approach, we will determine the interplay between: (i) birth, death and movement rates, (ii) species interactions, and (iii) the constraints of the physical environment (temperature, rainfall, soil type), which determine the limits of species' ranges. Our models will provide Australian conservation managers with a novel, validated toolbox to explore the trade-offs, and synergies, inherent in trying to adapt to climate change and other stressors on biodiversity.