Narrowing the scatter and assessing the uncertainty of climate change projections of Australian river flows

缩小澳大利亚河流流量气候变化预测的分散性并评估不确定性

• 批准号: LP100100756
• 负责人: Em/Prof Thomas McMahon
• 金额: $ 16.72万
• 依托单位: The University of Melbourne
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Linkage Projects
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2010-03-15 至 2013-03-14
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/LP100100756
• 关键词: Narrowing; scatter; assessing; uncertainty; climate

Recent prolonged dry conditions in south-eastern Australia have triggered water restrictions in major cities, zero irrigation allocations in the Murray-Darling region and highlighted the importance of water to this country. This project represents an integrated package of research that will enhance our understanding of the uncertainty of future annual river flows, leading to more informed decision making for the sustainable management of Australia’s increasingly scarce water resources. The outcomes from this project are highly relevant to the national research priority “An Environmentally Sustainable Australia”, particularly priority goals “Water - a critical resource” and “Responding to climate change and variability”.

最近，澳大利亚东南部的长期干旱引发了主要城市的用水限制，墨累-达令地区的灌溉拨款为零，凸显了水对这个国家的重要性。该项目代表了一个综合研究包，将增强我们对未来年度河流流量的不确定性的理解，从而为澳大利亚日益稀缺的水资源的可持续管理做出更明智的决策。该项目的成果与国家研究重点“环境可持续发展的澳大利亚”高度相关，特别是优先目标“水-关键资源”和“应对气候变化和变异”。