Comparing Divergent Views: The Sacco-Vanzetti Case: Phase II

对同一事件的概率的不同看法在本赠款中进行了研究。本文以研究萨科-万泽蒂案的两位历史学家为研究对象，研究他们各自如何构建案件中的证据。我们从它们中得到每个感兴趣事件的概率。利用这些结果，可以定量地比较他们的观点，以回答诸如意见分歧是否由于对某些关键证据的重要性的不同意见，某些证据是否被双方认为是相同的，以及其他证据是否被双方认为是不相关的，尽管他们的观点不同。该项目的目标是探索如何比较对同一事件的不同看法，并看看如何成功地利用概率来传达对历史事件的看法。

Divergent views of the probabilities of the same events are studied in this grant. Concentrating on two historians of the Sacco- Vanzetti case with different views, we study how each of them structures the evidence in the case. We obtain from each of them their probabilities of each of the events of interest. Using these results, their views can be compared quantitatively to answer such questions as whether the divergence in opinions is due to differing opinions about the importance of certain key evidence, whether certain evidence is viewed identically by both, and whether other evidence, although viewed differently, is considered irrelevant by both. The goal of the project is explore how to compare divergent views of the same events, and to see how successfully probabilities can be used to convey opinions about historical events.