Comparing Divergent Views: The Sacco-Vanzetti Case: Phase II

研究了对同一事件概率的不同看法 在这份赠款中。 两个历史学家的故事- 对于Vanzetti的案例有不同的看法，我们研究他们每个人是如何 构成了本案的证据 我们从他们每一个人那里得到 每个感兴趣事件的概率。 使用这些 结果，他们的观点可以定量比较，以回答这样的问题， 问题是，意见分歧是否是由于不同的 关于某些关键证据的重要性的意见， 两人都认为某些证据是相同的， 证据，虽然看起来不同，被认为是无关紧要的， 两者 该项目的目标是探索如何比较不同的 相同事件的观点，并看看成功的概率 可以用来表达对历史事件的看法。

Divergent views of the probabilities of the same events are studied in this grant. Concentrating on two historians of the Sacco- Vanzetti case with different views, we study how each of them structures the evidence in the case. We obtain from each of them their probabilities of each of the events of interest. Using these results, their views can be compared quantitatively to answer such questions as whether the divergence in opinions is due to differing opinions about the importance of certain key evidence, whether certain evidence is viewed identically by both, and whether other evidence, although viewed differently, is considered irrelevant by both. The goal of the project is explore how to compare divergent views of the same events, and to see how successfully probabilities can be used to convey opinions about historical events.