Comparing Divergent Views: The Sacco-Vanzetti Case: Phase II

在这项授权中，研究了对相同事件的概率的不同观点。集中在两位不同观点的萨科-范泽蒂案件的历史学家身上，我们研究了他们各自如何构建案件中的证据。我们从他们中的每个人那里获得他们对每个感兴趣的事件的概率。利用这些结果，他们的观点可以进行定量比较，以回答这样的问题：意见分歧是否源于对某些关键证据的重要性的不同看法，某些证据是否被双方视为相同的观点，以及其他证据尽管观点不同，但是否被双方视为无关紧要。该项目的目标是探索如何比较对相同事件的不同观点，并了解如何成功地使用概率来传达对历史事件的看法。

Divergent views of the probabilities of the same events are studied in this grant. Concentrating on two historians of the Sacco- Vanzetti case with different views, we study how each of them structures the evidence in the case. We obtain from each of them their probabilities of each of the events of interest. Using these results, their views can be compared quantitatively to answer such questions as whether the divergence in opinions is due to differing opinions about the importance of certain key evidence, whether certain evidence is viewed identically by both, and whether other evidence, although viewed differently, is considered irrelevant by both. The goal of the project is explore how to compare divergent views of the same events, and to see how successfully probabilities can be used to convey opinions about historical events.