Quantitative Studies of Labor Market Performance

本研究的目的是评估美国和国外劳动力市场的演变和表现。这项研究将由四个独立但相关的项目组成。第一部分将分析工资、收入和就业地区波动的决定因素。该项目是围绕劳动力需求的实证模型建立的，该模型可以隔离产品需求转移和技术变革对劳动力市场结果的影响。这对于将其应用于当地劳动力市场及其对总工资和就业变化的影响是有意义的。其次，将对劳动力市场的演变进行一系列国际比较，重点关注与美国经验形成重要对比的国家。主要目的是比较生产力和工资在不到15年的时间里增长了两倍的韩国和台湾与生产力和工资增长缓慢的美国和瑞典等发达国家的劳动市场的演变。第三，确定和分析工资、劳动力供给和失业之间的关系。最后，将开始研究美国劳动力市场的现代定量历史。除其他主题外，该项目还将研究工资结构的变化、失业和劳动力参与的演变、劳动力市场的变化以及移民的影响。

The purpose of this research is to assess the evolution and the performance of the labor market in the U.S. and abroad. The research will consist of four separate, but related projects. The first will analyze the determinants of regional fluctuations in wages, earnings, and employment. This project is built around an empirical model of labor demand that can isolate the effects of product demand shifts and technical change on labor market outcomes. This is of interest for its application to local labor markets, and for its implications for changes in aggregate wages and employment. Second, a set of international comparisons will be developed regarding the evolution of labor markets, focusing on countries that provide important contrasts to the U.S. experience. A key goal is to compare the evolution of labor markets in Korea and Taiwan where productivity and wages tripled in less than 15 years to the more developed countries of the U.S. and Sweden that experienced sluggish growth in productivity and wages. Third, the relationships between changes in wages, labor supply, and unemployment will be determined and analyzed. Finally, work will be initiated on a modern, quantitative history of labor markets in the U.S. Among other topics this project will include work on changes in the structure of wages, the evolution of unemployment and labor force participation, changes in labor markets, and effects of immigration.