The Trade Effects of Antidumping Investigations

9311703鉴于反倾销法的使用和滥用现在是多边和双边贸易谈判的核心问题，尤其重要的是尽可能充分地了解现行反倾销法对贸易自由流动的影响。在这个项目中，研究了1980-1985年间美国反倾销调查的决定因素和影响。这项研究不是只关注反倾销税，而是更广泛地考虑反倾销法，特别注意反倾销程序对进口和国内产出正在进行的调查影响，以及这种影响是否足够重要，以鼓励提起诉讼，如果没有这些影响，就不值得追查。该项目包括反倾销法的这些更广泛的方面，以努力更准确地评估反倾销请愿书的决定因素和影响，并评估最近关于反倾销法的理论工作提出的几个假设。这项研究的一个新方面将是按照最近的经济理论所提出的思路，理清反倾销调查过程的不同阶段对进口和国内产出的影响。***

9311703 Staiger With the use and abuse of antidumping law now a central concern of both multilateral and bilateral trade negotiations, it is especially important to gain as full an understanding as possible of the impact of existing antidumping laws on the free flow of trade. In this project, the determinants and the effects of antidumping investigations in the United States over the period 1980-1985 are examined. Rather than focusing primarily on antidumping duties alone, this research considers antidumping law more broadly, paying particular attention to the on-going investigation effects of antidumping procedures on imports and domestic output, and to whether such effects could be sufficiently important to encourage filing of petitions that, absent these effects, would not be worth pursuing. The project includes these broader aspects of antidumping law in an effort both to assess more accurately the determinants and the effects of antidumping petitions as well as to evaluate several hypotheses suggested by recent theoretical work on antidumping law. A novel aspect of this research will be to disentangle the effects on imports and domestic output of the various phases of the antidumping investigation process along the lines suggested by recent economic theory. ***