Estimating the Economic Impact of Catastrophic Urban Earthquakes

估计灾难性城市地震的经济影响

• 批准号: 9531997
• 负责人: Stephanie Chang
• 金额: $ 18.19万
• 依托单位: EQE International Inc
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 1996
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1996-05-15 至 1998-04-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9531997&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Estimating; Economic; Impact; Catastrophic; Urban

9531997 Chang The Great Hanshin earthquake which struck Kobe, Japan on January 17, 1995 killed over 5,000 residents and caused over $100 billion in losses. The magnitude of this disaster exceeds any experience in the modern history of the U.S. and represents an opportunity to learn lessons relevant to the earthquake threat to this country. This project will investigate selected aspects of economic impact in the Hanshin earthquake in order to develop a methodological framework for estimating the economic impact of a catastrophic urban earthquake in the U.S. The investigation will also involve comparisons with the moderate Northridge and Loma Prieta disasters, accounting for relevant differences between the U.S. and Japan. The project will build on on-going research being carried out by the investigators on the Hanshin earthquake. The project focuses on two issues which may be especially important in extrapolating economic impact from moderate to major urban disasters: nonlinear effects and structural change in the economy. ***

1995年1月17日，日本科比发生神户大地震，造成5,000多人死亡，1000多亿美元的经济损失。 这场灾难的严重程度超过了美国现代历史上的任何经验，并代表了一个学习与地震威胁有关的教训的机会。 本项目将调查坂神地震的经济影响的选定方面，以开发一个方法框架，估计在美国的灾难性城市地震的经济影响，调查还将涉及与中度北岭和洛马普列塔灾害的比较，说明美国和日本之间的相关差异。 该项目将建立在调查人员正在进行的坂神地震研究的基础上。 该项目侧重于两个问题，这两个问题在推断中度至重大城市灾害的经济影响时可能特别重要：非线性效应和经济结构变化。 ***