GOALI/Faculty and Students in Industry: Simplifying the Prediction of Labor Hours Needed for a Project

9631169 FiliPowski这个目标项目支持一个师生团队，与罗克韦尔国际公司柯林斯航空电子和通信部门的工程师合作，开发一种准确、快速地预测新项目所需工时的系统。预计工作时数是工作衡量系统的一部分，用于计划、计划、预算、建立成本估算和衡量员工的绩效。不准确的预测可能会导致成本增加和生产率下降。目前的工时预测往往涉及复杂的程序，既昂贵又耗时。该项目将开发简单而高效的方法来预测所需的项目工时，这些方法使用对类似项目的正常和标准时间的历史估计，并考虑到项目复杂性、制造效率低下、学习和劳动绩效。将开发两个系统，一个在一小时或更短时间内提供可接受的准确报价，另一个在一天或更短时间内提供更准确的报价。这个项目的结果可以通过提供快速准确的新产品开发成本报价来提高客户的可维护性。作为全面预算系统的一部分，它们还将在业务规划、预算编制和成本控制方面发挥作用。

9631169 Filipowski This GOALI project supports a faculty-student team working with engineers from the Collins Avionics and Communications Division of Rockwell International Corporation to develop a system for accurately and quickly predicting required labor hours for a new project. Predicted labor hours are part of a work measurement system, and are used to plan, schedule, budget, establish cost estimates, and measure an employee's performance. Inaccurate prediction can lead to increased costs and decreased productivity. Current labor hour prediction often involves complicated procedures that are expensive and time-consuming. This project will develop simple and efficient methods for predicting required project labor hours that use historical estimates of normal and standard times for similar projects, as well as allowances for project complexity, manufacturing inefficiencies, learning, and labor performance. Two systems will be developed, one to provide quotes of acceptable accuracy within an hour or less, and another to provide more accurate quotes within a day or less. The results from this project can be used to improve customer serviceability by providing quick and accurate quotes for new product development costs. As part of an overall budgeting system, they will also be useful in operational planning, budgeting, and cost-control.