Models of Strategic Thinking: A Theoretical, Experimental, and Statistical Study

该项目开发和实验和计量经济学测试人类行为和游戏学习的理论。 在之前的NSF资助下，研究人员发现了人类玩家可以被描述为具有其他玩家的五种模型之一的证据。 拟议的研究将探讨这些发现的鲁棒性，并将当前的理论与替代方案进行比较。研究人员还发现了在猜谜游戏中“规则学习”的证据，并建议探索这种模型对典型正规形式游戏的适用性。 因此，这个项目有助于游戏的描述性和规范性理论。

This project develops and experimentally and econometrically tests a theory of human behavior and learning in games. Under their previous NSF grant the investigators found evidence that human players can be characterized as having one of five models of other players. The proposed research will explore the robustness of these findings, and compare the current theory with alternatives. The investigators also found evidence for `rule learning` in a guessing game, and propose exploring the applicability of such a model to typical normal-form games. Consequently, this project contributes to a descriptive and prescriptive theory of games.