US-Turkey Cooperative Research: Development of the Regional Forecast System for the Black Sea and the Data Driven Simulations

9906249罗宾逊描述：该奖项是对哈佛大学工程与应用科学系艾伦·R·罗宾逊博士和土耳其安卡拉中东技术大学海洋科学研究所苏克鲁·贝西克特佩博士联合项目的支持。该项目的目的是发展黑海物理和生物地球化学变化的现役预报和预报能力，并演示海上实时预报。他们计划建立哈佛海洋预报系统(HOPS)，将其作为“黑海预报系统”(BOPS)，并有条不紊地遵循鲁滨逊(1966)和洛扎诺(1996)所描述的程序。研究计划包括以下任务：建立未来生物地球化学变量(NO3、NH4、碎屑、浮游植物、浮游动物)的模型，设计代表远洋生态系统低营养层的生态系统模型，利用黑海一维模型验证和校准生态系统模型，将生化模型与以前研究中开发的物理模型耦合，初始化和验证耦合的物理-生化模型，准备实时模拟系统，进行物理和生化变量的预报。范围：该奖项将支持两个具有互补能力和设施的科学家联合开展的研究黑海环境监测这一重要课题的项目。物理海洋数据与生物地球化学海洋数据的耦合问题对预报模型的成功至关重要，将在这一合作项目中加以处理。美方拥有物理海洋现象的特殊模型，而土耳其方拥有黑海物理和环境条件的专业知识，并可以获得最新和最新的数据。该项目完全符合国际方案司的目标。

9906249RobinsonDescription: This award is for the support of a joint project by Dr. Allan R. Robinson, Division of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University and Dr. Sukru Besiktepe, Institute of Marine Sciences at Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey. The project is to develop an operational nowcasting and forecasting capability of physical and biogeochemical variabilities of the Black Sea and to demonstrate the real-time forecast at sea. They plan to set up the Harvard Ocean Prediction System (HOPS) as a "Black Sea Ocean Prediction System" (BOPS) and methodically follow procedures described by Robinson (1966) and by Lozano (1996). The research plan includes the following tasks: create future model for biogeochemical variables (NO3, NH4, Detritus, Phytoplankton, Zooplankton), design ecosystem model representing lower trophic level of pelagic ecosystem, validate and calibrate ecosystem model using 1-d model of the Black Sea, couple the biochemical model with the physical model developed in previous studies, initialize and validate coupled physical-biochemical model, and prepare a system for real-time simulations, and perform on board forecasting of physical and biochemical variables.Scope: This award will support a joint project by two scientists who have complementary capabilities and facilities to study the important topic of the environmental monitoring of the Black Sea. The problem of coupling physical oceanographic data with biogeochemical oceanographic data is crucial for the success of a forecasting model and will be dealt with in this cooperative project. The US side has special models for physical oceanography phenomena, while the Turkish side has expertise in the Black Sea physical and environmental conditions and access to recent and current data. The project fits well within the objectives of the Division of International Programs.