Collecting and Utilizing Gubernatorial Approval Ratings

收集和利用州长的支持率

• 批准号: 9974176
• 负责人: Richard Niemi
• 金额: $ 5.12万
• 依托单位: University of Rochester
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1999
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1999-07-15 至 2001-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9974176&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collecting; Utilizing; Gubernatorial; Approval; Ratings

Considerable progress has been made in understanding the public approval of the performance of the head of government (or, in some countries, the governing party). In the United States and some other countries, "popularity" polls are conducted monthly, if not more often, yielding sufficient data for time-series analyses of the properties, causes, and consequences of public approval. Yet a superb set of testing sites for understanding this aspect of executive politics, the 50 American states, is not being utilized, even though pollsters have been inquiring about gubernatorial performance sporadically since the 1950s and fairly regularly since the mid-1980s.Gubernatorial approval has not been totally ignored in the research literature. At this point, though, attempts to test models of gubernatorial popularity across a large cross-section of states are in their infancy, and much remains to be done. Likewise, state election models could well be reformulated and retested by incorporating gubernatorial approval rates, and models could be tested that are currently inestimable.The primary reason why data on gubernatorial approval has been underutilized is that no comprehensive file of these data has been available. However, one of the PIs has made an excellent start by assembling gubernatorial approval ratings for all 50 states, more that 1500 ratings in all. Funding, at present, will fill in gaps to determine whether additional poll results are available; if so, to access them; to create an integrated gubernatorial approval data file; and to hold a conference focused on gubernatorial approval research.To accomplish these goals, it is necessary to contact as many as 50 polling organizations. It is also important to inquire about early polls, especially those from periods prior to the 1980s. No less important is to establish a more or less automatic mechanism for obtaining future poll results. Finally, the data collection currently exists on paper. Support is provided to develop this into a system appropriate for electronic storage.The data and conference will contribute to work in at least tow areas. First, they will enhance understanding of executive approval and the relationship between approval and elections. Second, they will contribute to the study of state politics, where some forms of research, such as on gubernatorial approval, have been limited to the study of one or a small number of states. Finally, it is relevant to note that the data to be archived are unlikely to be maintained indefinitely in the absence of an effort such as that proposed; if not collected now, the data would be irretrievably lost.

在了解公众对政府首脑（或在一些国家，执政党）的业绩的认可方面，已经取得了相当大的进展。 在美国和其他一些国家，"受欢迎程度"调查每月进行一次，如果不是更频繁的话，产生足够的数据来进行公众认可的属性，原因和后果的时间序列分析。 然而，尽管民意调查人员从20世纪50年代开始就对州长的表现进行了零星调查，并从20世纪80年代中期开始定期调查，但美国50个州这一了解行政政治这一方面的绝佳测试点却没有得到利用。在研究文献中，州长的认可并没有被完全忽视。 然而，在这一点上，在大部分州测试州长受欢迎程度模型的尝试还处于起步阶段，还有很多工作要做。 同样，州选举模型也可以通过纳入州长的支持率来重新制定和重新测试，并且可以对目前无法估计的模型进行测试。州长支持率数据未得到充分利用的主要原因是没有这些数据的综合文件。 然而，其中一个PI已经取得了一个很好的开端，收集了所有50个州的州长支持率，总共超过1500个评级。 目前的资金将用于填补以下方面的空白：确定是否有更多的民意调查结果;如果有，访问这些结果;建立一个综合的州长批准数据文件;以及举行一次以州长批准研究为重点的会议。为了实现这些目标，有必要与多达50个民意调查组织联系。 询问早期的民意调查也很重要，特别是1980年代以前的民意调查。 同样重要的是建立一个或多或少自动获得未来投票结果的机制。 最后，目前的数据收集是纸上谈兵。 提供支助，将其发展成一个适合电子储存的系统，数据和会议将有助于至少两个领域的工作。 首先，它们将增进对行政批准以及批准与选举之间关系的理解。 其次，它们将为州政治的研究做出贡献，其中某些形式的研究，例如州长批准，仅限于对一个或少数州的研究。 最后，应当指出，如果不作出拟议的努力，待存档的数据不可能无限期地保存;如果现在不收集，数据将无可挽回地丢失。