Biocomplexity Incubation Activity: Workshops on Prediction of the Ecological and Societal Impacts of Environmental Arctic Change

生物复杂性孵化活动：北极环境变化的生态和社会影响预测研讨会

• 批准号: 0083331
• 负责人: James Morison
• 金额: $ 10万
• 依托单位: University of Washington
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2000
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2000-09-15 至 2003-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0083331&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Biocomplexity; Incubation; Activity; Workshops; Prediction

Over the last several decades, the Arctic has experienced unprecedented climate change, with dramatic reduction in sea-ice coverage and the warming of both lands and oceans. The driving forces for these changes are currently believed to be greenhouse warming and cyclic oscillations in the atmospheric circulation. Ecosystem structure in the more-southerly Bering Sea has been dramatically altered and a few scattered observations suggests that alterations in food-webs are occurring elsewhere in the more isolated Arctic. Few comprehensive studies of the ecosystem structure and function have been done in the enclosed Arctic, yet it is straightforward to expect dramatic and non-linear biotic changes. In this Incubation Activity, the P.I. proposes to develop a research plan for studying Arctic environmental change and its impact on the ecosystem and society. This proposal would establish a multidisciplinary team of experts which would lead 2 workshops over 24 months to develop a strategy for evaluating biological and societal impacts of the physical environmental changes.

在过去几十年中，北极经历了前所未有的气候变化，海冰覆盖面积急剧减少，陆地和海洋变暖。 目前认为，这些变化的驱动力是温室效应和大气环流的周期性振荡。 更靠南的白令海的生态系统结构已经发生了巨大的变化，一些零散的观察表明，食物网的变化正在更孤立的北极的其他地方发生。 在封闭的北极地区，对生态系统结构和功能的全面研究很少，但可以直接预期会发生戏剧性和非线性的生物变化。 在本次孵化活动中，P.I.建议制定研究计划，研究北极环境变化及其对生态系统和社会的影响。该提案将设立一个多学科专家小组，在24个月内举办两次讲习班，以制定一项战略，评估自然环境变化的生物和社会影响。