An Integrated Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Variability on the Alaskan North Slope Coastal Region

气候变化对阿拉斯加北坡沿海地区影响的综合评估

• 批准号: 0100120
• 负责人: James Maslanik
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: University of Colorado at Boulder
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2001
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2001-03-01 至 2008-02-29
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0100120&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Integrated; Assessment; Impacts; Climate; Variability

The research project examines ways to utilize climate information gained by the scientific community in conjunction with the traditional knowledge held by people native to the Arctic as a determinate for making decisions in response to changing climate conditions in the far north. A range of scenarios for changing climate conditions such as decreased sea ice, changing frequency of extreme weather events, storm surges, and other environmental factors will be used to predict the probability of variable environmental conditions that could lead to decisions in the local communities about management of resources, marine transportation options, and coastal construction. Local stakeholder groups will be used to identify how socioeconomic decision-making might be done in response to various probabilities for changing climate on a variety of time scales. An interdisciplinary education project will integrate natural and social sciences with specific application to arctic climate and socioeconomic issues. The project will contribute to the Human dimensions of the Arctic system (HARC) initiative of the Arctic System Science Program.

该研究项目探讨了如何利用科学界获得的气候信息以及北极原住民所拥有的传统知识，作为做出决策的决定因素，以应对远北地区不断变化的气候条件。 将使用一系列气候条件变化的情景，例如海冰减少、极端天气事件频率变化、风暴潮和其他环境因素，来预测可变环境条件的概率，这些环境条件可能导致当地社区做出有关资源管理、海洋运输选择和沿海建设的决策。 当地利益相关者团体将被用来确定如何进行社会经济决策，以应对不同时间尺度上气候变化的各种可能性。 跨学科教育项目将把自然科学和社会科学与北极气候和社会经济问题的具体应用结合起来。 该项目将为北极系统科学计划的北极系统人文维度（HARC）倡议做出贡献。