Starter Grant: Individual-based Studies of Ecological Response to Climate Change at Multiple Spatial and Temporal Scales

该研究所于1998年获得博士后奖学金(DBI 9804178)，以探索气候变化如何影响挪威植物和马鹿的长期人口战略。波斯特博士与挪威的斯滕塞特博士在该项目的量化方面进行了合作。PI现在是宾夕法尼亚州立大学的终身教职。他建议使用多个空间和时间尺度上的高分辨率现场数据，通过尖端的基于个体的模型来解决气候和营养结构(捕食者、草食动物和植物)之间的相互作用。该项目将推动对生态学的理解，因为假设驱动和面向过程的观点将取代目前涉及回溯性时间序列分析的方法。将阿拉斯加德纳利公园周围精心设计的狼、驼鹿和植被的实地研究与先进的定量建模相结合，将有助于发展关于气候变化对社区稳定的影响的统一理论。

The PI received a postdoctoral fellowship in 1998 (DBI 9804178) to explore how changing climate might affect the long-term demographic strategies of plants and red deer in Norway. Dr. Post collaborated with Dr. Stenseth in Norway on quantitative aspects of the project. The PI in now in a tenure track position at The Pennsylvania State University. He proposes to use highly resolved field data at multiple spatial and temporal scales to resolve the interactions between climate and trophic structure (predators, herbivores, and plants) using cutting-edge individual-based models. This project will advance ecological understanding in that hypothesis-driven and process-oriented perspectives will replace current approaches involving retrospective time-series analyses. The integration of well designed field studies of wolves, moose, and vegetation in the environs of Denali Park in Alaska, and advanced quantitative modeling will facilitate development of a unifying theory regarding the effects of climate change on community stability.